jknezek
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Dec 19, 2016
- Messages
- 2,130
Your also assuming that 100 % of hotel guests go to one of the four parks every single day - and that clearly isn't true either, but yeah I was figuring 20% of occupancy would be at Epcot at any one time.
So there's like 2000 rooms at Pop (average 3 per room), another 1000 at AOA (suites - average 5 per room), 1500 rooms at CBR (average 3) and 600 rooms at Riviera (average 5). Gives us 18,500 patrons at these resorts.
Say 20% go to Epcot on a given day, and 50% stay for the fireworks (75% is WAY too high), that's 1850 people.
Hourly capacity of 3,000 means 37 minutes to get them all back to the resort. Not that the line would be that long as all those people have to exit the park, but you could see 20 minute backups if true.
But in the end we have to do a reality check - let's go back to the bus transportation: This calculation says that 1850 people are leaving Epcot for these four resorts at the end of the night. At 60 people per bus, that would mean 31 busloads of people are going back to these 4 resorts. dropping Riviera which doesn't exist yet, that 26 bus loads of people going back to CBR, Pop, and AoA, or roughly 8 buses each resort.
Is there ONE person on the board that believes there are EIGHT busloads of people heading back to CBR at the end of each night? Of course not - it's maybe 3 or 4. Same for the other resorts. So the ACTUAL numbers will likely be half that number so now we are talking 1000 people leaving Epcot for the gondola. That's 20 minutes of full load.
I've done similar calculations elsewhere on this thread - the crowds here won't be as bad as everyone thinks. The worst will be at the end of the fireworks, but wait will still be way shorter than the buses. (Have you ever left a park for the buses and had to wait 2 even 3 buses? I've waited 45 minutes for a bus at the end of the night - you'll never have this happen here.)
They are more than ready for these crowds.
How can I like this more than once? One of my favorite posts here in quite a long time.