Another piece of excellent advice - know yourself. If you are a value driven person - you probably won't spent the zillion points to stay at BLT with a MK view over the holidays - so don't worry about it. Value driven people might fly in on Saturday, spend Saturday night at Pop, spend Sunday - Thursday at their DVC resort (OKW or BWV Standard View rooms are bargains) - and maybe extend their vacation by going to Universal for the weekend with FotL privileges.
If you are a sharer, you might need twice the points of a non-sharer - or more. You know you are a sharer when your first thought is "we could bring my sister and her family." If treating your family and friends to rooms is a driving factor - you'll want more points - if you are looking at this idea and thinking "my friends and relatives can pay for their own vacations!" you need fewer.
If you are the type of person who thinks that four people sharing one bathroom is a human rights violation, you are going to need more points than someone who thinks that four people in a studio is perfectly comfortable (and if it weren't for occupancy restrictions, you could easily make six or seven work!).
If you live close and think that you'll drive down a few times a year, that's a different scenario than if you live in Alaska and know that every other year is going to be about what you can manage.
Think both short term - the trips you might take in the next two or three years - but build in long term flexibility (don't buy one huge contract) and think about the long term - that may mean you'll need fewer points long term (kids leaving home) or more points (want to use them for grandkids).
There are all sorts of DVCers - there are couples who stay in one bedrooms because they like the full kitchens, and families of four that fit in studios for two weeks at a time. There are people who want a Grand Villa at Christmas every year for a ton of points, and people who want a studio every other year for a week. There are people who MUST be close to the parks, and people who seldom enter them. There are people who use their points outside of Disney, and people who wouldn't dream of a vacation anywhere else.
Its easy to read about how someone else does it here and thing "wow! that sounds great!" But if it isn't you, you'll try it once and never do it again. DVC is something you need to buy looking at how you will use it, over and over and over again.
All of this is very good advice. Having just closed on a 200 pt Boardwalk resale, I had to ask myself the following questions;
1) Who will be going?
2) Where would I want to stay?
3) When would I want to stay?
4) How often would we go?
5) How much do I want to spend right now?
My answers and rationalization
1) Most always me, my wife and 4 kids and sometimes my parents or my in-laws so I would need a 2 bedroom for the 6 to 8 people. If you have more than 9 you would most likely have to think multiple rooms or Grand Villa's.
2) Being close to the parks is important to me. Having young kids makes it convenient to not have to bus to all of the parks so even one that I could walk to or take the monorail was a big plus. This past summer we sayed at the BWI and really enjoyed the close proximety to Epcot and DHS as well as the selection of restaurants in the area including the Boardwalk, Yacht Club, Beach Club and the Epcot world showcase. BLT was also an option to me with the monorail and accessibilty to MK and Epcot. VWL was also a thought with a boat ride to MK. Realizing I might want to stay at all of these resorts at some point, I knew I would need enough points so I could stay at the resort requiring the most points which would be BLT.
3) For now it will be in the summers for the most part when the kids are off from school except for a short trip we hope to make in January. The weeks we would go would most likely be the Magic Season (see resort
point charts).
4) Probably not more than once per year since we also like to do other things like cruise but this year we will go twice since the contract I purchased has 07 pts that have to be used by Jan 31 assuming I can get a room once I am in the system.
5) I would need 388 pts to stay at BLT in the magic season but I was not willing spend approx $40K at this point. It really helps to read around disboards to learn as much as you can before you buy. I decided that if I could find a 200 pt contract I could go every other year and if I really wanted to go every year I could always add on more points. Since we really liked the BW, I decided we would buy there so I started to look at resales. Ideally I would find a contract with all 08 and 09 pts available so I could use them this year and then next year in 10, I could go again if I wanted to by borrowing the 11 points. This would give me two full years to decide if I wanted to consider adding on. I spent about a month looking and found the perfect contract with all 07, 08 and 09 pts available at the BWV's for
$80/pt. Getting the 08 points on the contract that the seller paid for, to me it was the same thing as getting developer points except better because I could stay anywhere assuming the resorts were available when I decided to book. The other factors I had to consider were the annual cost per point and the length of the contracts. The BWV contract expires in 2042 and even though BWV has an additional 18 yrs, I really could not be bothered worrying about what I even want to be doing 30 yrs from now. I also realized smaller contracts are easier to resell and the command more $$'s. Not that a 200 pt contract is small but it would probbaly be easier to resell then a 350 or 400 pt contract that I was originally considering.
I would suggest taking your time and not buy on impulse. We took the tour at SSR when we were there at the begiining of August and then almost 3 months later we decided to make an offer. Good luck with your decision!!