If the resort points are "fixed", how do they sell to me? Or, does this assume I might have to wait until Disney pulls a ROFR and sells to me? Given the RIV promotion, we were debating a 200 point purchase but it's not clear what happens when you roll points to the following year. For example, my RIV Oct 29-Nov 7th equals 161 points so I would carry over 29. Does that mean I *MUST* use 229 (200+29) the following year? Or am I able to absorb the 29 carried over from the previous year first?
1st week of May is definitely a busy period so if I went with direct at a cheaper resort just to obtain points, I run the risk of not finding a resort. To be honest, I kind of like the idea of the flexibility of using other resorts but not at the RIV price point which is one of my major hold ups. RIV is giving a nice discount but I normally wouldn't stay there and transferring my RIV points to a cheaper resort is bad value.
Why "2042"? Is it due to the economics on the "earlier" contract dates?
My wife is not concerned -- she is usually right -- I hate admitting that too.

But, Disney is changing and cutting value at every turn it seems. I am fine with paying Disney prices but it bothers me when they nickle and dime. But, they must be doing something right as I am debating DVC now.
DVC is not going anywhere but the RIV sale has a week left and the prices just keep going up so I should make a decision sooner than later.
And this is why I am debating ignoring the RIV deal and going with a cheaper home resort just to get the points. I just don't know how the 7 month availability would translate and I doubt anyone truly knows.
RIV was our consideration because we didn't realize you could buy elsewhere given Disney only advertises the 3 resorts. But, it sounds like Jersey week with a 7 month window might be a deal breaker except home resort. If true, why buy direct?
To be clear, the points are just replenished? I am free to go anytime based on the point schedule? Does the perk to buy AP just mean I get the same price as a FL resident? Do we have any idea of recent pricing? I've never consider AP but I could see us going every 2X year maybe.
If you buy resale (sans RIV), there are other resorts that can be used, correct? RIV resale is ONLY RIV, right? My wife likes the idea of direct to be able to use the points elsewhere but I can't imagine that being a good value. My other concern is that I would buy too many points and they would just go to waste or I'd be force to use them on a non-Disney resort and just waste the value.
This is VERY helpful.
When a resort like RIV is in active sales, they have inventory to sell you so no waiting. Other resorts that are sold out are different.
If you decided to buy a fixed week at RIV...they are not available at every resort...you’d pay a 10% premium for the week. It doesn’t matter what happens with charts for that week, because you are locked in. If you decide not to travel that week, the points you bought are returned and you can use like normal.
Resale points now are restricted in a few ways One is that you would not be eligible for membership magic which includes the blue card perks, like DVC AP, food and merchandise discounts, Epcot membership lounge and any special events offered. Like right now there is a ticket offer that is buy 4 days and get 2 free but only those with a qualified blue card can get it.
Reaale point bought now are restricted to booking only the original resorts. So they can not be used at RIV or any future resorts. But trading out is the same at 7 months.
You can also not use resale points to book
Cruises or other Disney resorts that are not DVC. It is a bad use of points anyway, so most do not, but it is a difference.
So why buy direct? If you want to ever stay at RIV or future resorts, direct points are the only way to do it. If you’ll want an option for the
DVC AP when it returns, or be eligible for special ticket offers, you can if you buy at least 125 points direct at any resort. Before sales were suspended, it was $719 plus tax.
Now, if RIV or any future resorts are not a big deal and you don’t think the discounts and perks of the blue card are worth it, then resale will save you money. But no matter how you buy, make
Sure you buy a home resort you are okay staying at if you can’t trade.
For example, you can buy SSR direct for about $60/ more a point. You get all the benefits of direct, but have a home resort that has a much more friendly points than RIV.
Lots of optiona. As I have shared my love RIV and regret having restricted points. If I didn’t care about that resort, it would not matter. But DVC is too expensive to try and save a Small amount up front only to realize You can’t use it the way you want!
ETA. Here is the advice I used and what I have given to other considering DVC including RIV. These were all cash paying people so financing may change things.
Once it’s bought your big expenses are MFs. What would have to happen financially for you to be forced to sell because you can still cover MFs?
If you had to sell in an emergency in a year or two and only got 50% of the initial price back, how would you feel and how would that compare had you stayed cash?
How long would you have to break even against what you spend with that 50% loss?
I do not think resale value should be a big part if the picture. But RIV is popular and its selling better resale than most predicted. There will be a market for it, even if it’s depressed.
No guarantee any resort will stay high. But if getting that back is important you have to weigh that. In the end, it’a all how you feel. It was worth it for us to risk it both when we bought BLT and RIV in 2019.