CDC Notifies States, Large Cities To Prepare For Vaccine Distribution As Soon As Late October

[godisney14]

Not sure what you are getting at?

I could be misunderstanding the conversation.
You commented: “I think your wording here doesn't accurately represent what has been discussed and is known about the vaccine.” in response with a highlight to a previous poster saying “...the vaccine likely doesn’t prevent infection”

 

[TLSnell1981]

Not sure what you are getting at?

I think this is referring to those who do not believe a prior infection or vaccination prevent anyone from contracting the virus.

 

[Farro]

I could be misunderstanding the conversation.
You commented: “I think your wording here doesn't accurately represent what has been discussed and is known about the vaccine.” in response with a highlight to a previous poster saying “...the vaccine likely doesn’t prevent infection”

I thought the wording of "vaccine doesn't likely prevent infection" could have been phrased better. I took it as poster was saying this thread already determined vaccine doesn't prevent infection and I don't think this thread did.

Dependent on vaccine, it does prevent moderate to severe infection. If infected, cases would be mild to asymptomatic.

And more and more studies are finding that those vaccinated actually do not spread covid to those who aren't vaccinated.

 

[Jonfw2]

Do the vaccines prevent infection? Yes, to a large degree but not 100% for certain.

Do the vaccines prevent severe Covid? Yes, almost entirely.

Do the vaccines prevent death from Covid? To date, there is not a single death on record from anyone fully vaccinated by the Pfizer, moderna, or JNJ vaccines.

 

[anniemae]

I really hope the JnJ gets approved soon, I think they are shooting for March. I know it won't fix everything, but it has to speed this up. Right?

 

[Jonfw2]

I really hope the JnJ gets approved soon, I think they are shooting for March. I know it won't fix everything, but it has to speed this up. Right?

100% yes.

 

[Jonfw2]

70, 80, 90%.

This is how far the US, UK, and South Africa are now down from their highs.

 

[Joe in VA]

One of the biggest week to week drops on record, from 98,000 cases last Thursday, to 68,000 cases today. Cases are falling fast. In addition, positivity rate in the US has fallen to a 7 day moving avg of 5.2%, a steady fall from a winter peak of 13.6% last month. Getting close to the all time low of 4.1% national avg.

Cases over Thursdays

1/7 279,000
1/14 234,000
1/21 195,000
1/28 166,000
2/3 114,000
2/10 98,000
2/17 68,000

I think this is largely due to seroprevalence, but the vaccine is also definitely playing a major part.

 

[Joe in VA]

Very interesting WSJ article here from Johns Hopkins Dr. Makary; https://www.wsj.com/articles/well-have-herd-immunity-by-april-11613669731

 

[jlwhitney]

Very interesting WSJ article here from Johns Hopkins Dr. Makary; https://www.wsj.com/articles/well-have-herd-immunity-by-april-11613669731

Exactly what was expected to happened no matter what. The timeline of when it would happen was more of the unknown. Def good news!

 

[Southernmiss]

The numbers look good, but much of the South has been stuck at home with difficult weather conditions this week.

There have been many areas with no testing and no vaccination sites open due to weather.

Now the weather should help reduce the transmission because people cant get out, but I question have cases really fallen that drastically this week?

 

[wenrob]

Very interesting WSJ article here from Johns Hopkins Dr. Makary; https://www.wsj.com/articles/well-have-herd-immunity-by-april-11613669731

I just read this a little bit ago. It made me feel cautiously optimistic.

The numbers look good, but much of the South has been stuck at home with difficult weather conditions this week.

There have been many areas with no testing and no vaccination sites open due to weather.

Now the weather should help reduce the transmission because people cant get out, but I question have cases really fallen that drastically this week?

Numbers are not my thing and I’m worse with statistics but they’re falling everywhere and have been. I’m sure the severe weather accounts for a small fraction of the drop but I can’t see how it could account for all of it. We had 371 cases for today a -47% change in the 14 day average. No severe weather here.

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

The numbers look good, but much of the South has been stuck at home with difficult weather conditions this week.

There have been many areas with no testing and no vaccination sites open due to weather.

Now the weather should help reduce the transmission because people cant get out, but I question have cases really fallen that drastically this week?

Nationwide, maybe. But CA’s pattern has been following the national one with numbers dropping drastically from even a month ago and we don’t have weather issues. Plus our stay at home order was lifted. So I believe it to be a real trend.

 

[Jonfw2]

The numbers look good, but much of the South has been stuck at home with difficult weather conditions this week.

There have been many areas with no testing and no vaccination sites open due to weather.

Now the weather should help reduce the transmission because people cant get out, but I question have cases really fallen that drastically this week?

Cases are falling in very similar rates in states not effected by the weather.

 

[Jonfw2]

Here's a little dirt for you:

My wife works at a health clinic and one of her jobs is to input the records for all the people they've vaccinated, as mandated by the state. She looked at the state's system today and they hadn't logged anyone who'd been vaxxed at her clinic since last Saturday...which means that at least in Ohio, we've vaccinated more people than the numbers are showing.

 

[Jonfw2]

Very interesting WSJ article here from Johns Hopkins Dr. Makary; https://www.wsj.com/articles/well-have-herd-immunity-by-april-11613669731

This is the best news I’ve heard since day one. Anniemae- take note!!!

 

[Jonfw2]

More awesome news this morning: the CDC has reported the first info on vaccine effectiveness in long-term care facilities:

Previous to vaccination, they accounted for a horrifying 36% of deaths from Covid. That number, as of February 11th, is now 18%. And don't forget: the TOTAL death per day number is dropping as well.

 

[snappy]

Our governor extended vaccine eligibility yesterday to residents 55-64 with one or more underlying health conditions, teachers and support workers K-12 and day cares, non emergency medical transportation providers and staff, pregnant women. My sister had the vaccine yesterday at a Walmart pharmacy, they had to drive to one about an hour away. They called her in the morning to make sure she was coming in for her appointment. That pharmacy receives enough for 10 vaccines a day and are having trouble administering it because people cancel. I think part of that is due to the extreme cold weather (for us). It wasn‘t easy to make the appointment though, her retired husband spent a lot of time mastering the list of 2,000 vaccine providers in a pretty wide circle around where we live. Persistence pays off.

 

[Farro]

This is the best news I’ve heard since day one. Anniemae- take note!!!

Can't read it! Synopsis?

 

[Colleen27]

The numbers look good, but much of the South has been stuck at home with difficult weather conditions this week.

There have been many areas with no testing and no vaccination sites open due to weather.

Now the weather should help reduce the transmission because people cant get out, but I question have cases really fallen that drastically this week?

I'd worry about that if the most recent numbers were a departure from the overall trend or if the state-by-state numbers showed bigger drops in places affected by the recent severe weather, but that doesn't appear to be the case. The two states I really watch are Michigan and California, because we live in the former and my daughter lives/goes to college in the latter, and both are seeing sustained drops without any real severe weather impact (we did have a snow storm that closed some sites on Tuesday, but nothing out of the ordinary for a Michigan winter; most everything was normal on Monday and back to normal by Wednesday).