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This doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me. Like I say below “I don’t think Disney ever thought people would EVER sell a DVC membership.” That’s what’s driving this, keeping people in their contracts.

I think if anything this will increase the resale market for the existing 14 resorts and when they start to be on the market depress resale for new resorts. I also think it’s going to slow sales of new resorts in the short term.

I just bought an SSR Contract yesterday. I found a 160 point contract at $95 a point. Disney is probably going to buy it with ROFR but it was a deal I couldn't pass up. My purchase will expire when I would be 100. I'll probably be dead by then and with no kids, I will go to my brother who will sell it at whatever he gets for it. Another resale.

I think Disney was/is marketing to younger families, hence the 50 year deeds. They were thinking people would buy in their 20's or 30's and wouldn't need it when they were in their 70’s or 80's and their kids would buy a new contract. I think a lot of people are buying in their 40's, 50's and even their 60’s and the deed expiration doesn't affect them all that much, or they don't care all that much about the membership "perks". There are a lot more resale contracts available because people want to sell them, for whatever reason. I don’t think Disney ever thought people would EVER sell a DVC membership. I think Disney is trying to squelch resale as much as they can because it doesn’t fit into their “vision” for DVC – buy it once, buy it for life, never sell it.

What they are going to do when they start to sell Reflections or Riviera? Sure they can push that resale of Reflections or Riviera can't exchange into the original 14 resorts so you want to buy direct. Are they going to say to the purchasers that they can’t resell them since they won’t have much value? Are a lot of people are going to say forget it and head to resale to purchase an existing 1 of 14 properties which still have value because they have exchange privileges? I think so especially since some of them have 40 or more years left on their contracts.

With the exception of OKW, Aulani, Vero Beach and Hilton Head, the rest of the resorts are extremely nice (not that those I listed aren’t) because they are located near a destination; a theme park, Disney Springs or a Water Park. Who’s going to buy a Riviera resale contract when they can’t do much with it? Who on here, based on what they have seen or heard, prior to this announcement, actually was looking forward to Reflections or Riviera? One is a high rise hotel and one is lakeside, both near nothing? I’d stay at Animal Kingdom before I stay at either of these and I don’t like Animal Kingdom. People are going to buy a contract at 1 of the 14. There always seems to be several hundred on the market. Granted, over time, as expiration dates near, a contract’s value will lessen but it’s been used a heck of a lot too.

Walt had said they will always have room to do anything but looking at a map that really isn't the case. I wrote this in another thread; they can't build all that much more; they are running out of room. They can build maybe 6 more resorts and if they build 6 then all really couldn't be exclusively for DVC. And most of them would be outliers, none of them would be in a prime spot. The NE corner is used for "backstage stuff". There is some land along with the southwest corner but it wouldn't be prime space for a resort. And I'm pretty sure they want to keep some land for another theme park, whatever it may be. Maybe they can build 6 more resorts and it would take 20 years and that’s without a recession.

I think this is going to come back and bite Disney in their behind. They are thinking they are going to kill the resale market. They aren’t at least until sometime in the 2030’s. I would imagine that at some point Disney is going to have to enter the resale market. Granted they would probably only buy back points at .80 on the dollar but they will guarantee they will buy a contract back after a predetermined number of years.
 
I think this move is going to ultimately drive up the resale price on the 14 resorts once everything settles down. If you're looking to buy and reserve some sort of escape route, buying into the 14 is much smarter. I think what it will do is drive sales away from their new resorts and into the older batch that holds on to some flexibility.

One of the things that's striking me in the memo is this "or". If they were going to branch or another clump of resorts, wouldn't they have put an "and" there? My gut is going forward with the new resorts, if you buy resale, you'll only be able to stay where you buy.

"Effective January 19, 2019, only Members who purchase directly from Disney will be able to use their Vacation Points at the 14 existing Disney Vacation Club Resorts or future Resorts—such as Disney’s Riviera Resort or Reflections – A Disney Lakeside Lodge."
 
Make no mistake, your points no longer carry as much value starting on 1/19 should you go to sell them even if the price doesn't reflect that. There is a difference between price and value. This doesn't matter if you never plan to sell. Those of us grandfathered in won't see a difference in our usage except for the new point reallocation. :mad: However, you have to use more points to book the same room starting in 2020 pretty much across the board. I know there are exceptions, but I have yet to see someone say, "This reallocation actually helps me!" even though someone, somewhere was helped.

I'm not sure I agree with that (and I'm not defending DVC, by any means here). Prior to 1/18/19 all current legacy 14 resorts sold resale could book at all legacy 14 resorts. After 1/19/19 they can still book at the same 14 resorts. So unless the current resale "value" is based on being able to book future resorts, then the value has not changed. Ironically, if the rumors about Riviera resale being restricted to Riviera are true, then the I could see the resale price increasing over time because there won't be nearly as big a resale demand for the new resorts leaving the legacy 14 as the only good resale options capable at booking at 14 resorts.
 
Anybody want to pm me the brokers showing price reductions? I'm seeing increases and almost nothing available! I'm looking at small contracts. Maybe that's why. I saw a 50 pt BLT new listing and got excited until I saw it was $184 !!!!!!!!!
 

I'm not sure I agree with that (and I'm not defending DVC, by any means here). Prior to 1/18/19 all current legacy 14 resorts sold resale could book at all legacy 14 resorts. After 1/19/19 they can still book at the same 14 resorts. So unless the current resale "value" is based on being able to book future resorts, then the value has not changed. Ironically, if the rumors about Riviera resale being restricted to Riviera are true, then the I could see the resale price increasing over time because there won't be nearly as big a resale demand for the new resorts leaving the legacy 14 as the only good resale options capable at booking at 14 resorts.

I was literally typing in the same thing in the post right above yours at the same time. I completely agree. I think it's going to ultimately drive the price of the 14 up.
 
This doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me. Like I say below “I don’t think Disney ever thought people would EVER sell a DVC membership.” That’s what’s driving this, keeping people in their contracts.

I think if anything this will increase the resale market for the existing 14 resorts and when they start to be on the market depress resale for new resorts. I also think it’s going to slow sales of new resorts in the short term.

I just bought an SSR Contract yesterday. I found a 160 point contract at $95 a point. Disney is probably going to buy it with ROFR but it was a deal I couldn't pass up. My purchase will expire when I would be 100. I'll probably be dead by then and with no kids, I will go to my brother who will sell it at whatever he gets for it. Another resale.

I think Disney was/is marketing to younger families, hence the 50 year deeds. They were thinking people would buy in their 20's or 30's and wouldn't need it when they were in their 70’s or 80's and their kids would buy a new contract. I think a lot of people are buying in their 40's, 50's and even their 60’s and the deed expiration doesn't affect them all that much, or they don't care all that much about the membership "perks". There are a lot more resale contracts available because people want to sell them, for whatever reason. I don’t think Disney ever thought people would EVER sell a DVC membership. I think Disney is trying to squelch resale as much as they can because it doesn’t fit into their “vision” for DVC – buy it once, buy it for life, never sell it.

What they are going to do when they start to sell Reflections or Riviera? Sure they can push that resale of Reflections or Riviera can't exchange into the original 14 resorts so you want to buy direct. Are they going to say to the purchasers that they can’t resell them since they won’t have much value? Are a lot of people are going to say forget it and head to resale to purchase an existing 1 of 14 properties which still have value because they have exchange privileges? I think so especially since some of them have 40 or more years left on their contracts.

With the exception of OKW, Aulani, Vero Beach and Hilton Head, the rest of the resorts are extremely nice (not that those I listed aren’t) because they are located near a destination; a theme park, Disney Springs or a Water Park. Who’s going to buy a Riviera resale contract when they can’t do much with it? Who on here, based on what they have seen or heard, prior to this announcement, actually was looking forward to Reflections or Riviera? One is a high rise hotel and one is lakeside, both near nothing? I’d stay at Animal Kingdom before I stay at either of these and I don’t like Animal Kingdom. People are going to buy a contract at 1 of the 14. There always seems to be several hundred on the market. Granted, over time, as expiration dates near, a contract’s value will lessen but it’s been used a heck of a lot too.

Walt had said they will always have room to do anything but looking at a map that really isn't the case. I wrote this in another thread; they can't build all that much more; they are running out of room. They can build maybe 6 more resorts and if they build 6 then all really couldn't be exclusively for DVC. And most of them would be outliers, none of them would be in a prime spot. The NE corner is used for "backstage stuff". There is some land along with the southwest corner but it wouldn't be prime space for a resort. And I'm pretty sure they want to keep some land for another theme park, whatever it may be. Maybe they can build 6 more resorts and it would take 20 years and that’s without a recession.

I think this is going to come back and bite Disney in their behind. They are thinking they are going to kill the resale market. They aren’t at least until sometime in the 2030’s. I would imagine that at some point Disney is going to have to enter the resale market. Granted they would probably only buy back points at .80 on the dollar but they will guarantee they will buy a contract back after a predetermined number of years.

A lot of people were/are looking forward to Riviera because it is an Epcot area resort with 50 years and easy access to 2 parks. There is some prime real estate left to use. BLT 2, Epcot entrance resort would be an insane location. Reflections will be like a WL location. Many direct buyers aren't looking at the resale aspect and the salespeople will obviously not mention it or will brush it off (so many people on forums asking about buying into DVC have no idea there even is such a thing as a resale market). I do think that the resale of Riviera will be hurt but I don't think it will direct sales as much as many on here think.
 
Anybody want to pm me the brokers showing price reductions? I'm seeing increases and almost nothing available! I'm looking at small contracts. Maybe that's why. I saw a 50 pt BLT new listing and got excited until I saw it was $184 !!!!!!!!!

I've been watching AKV listing on 3 major websites and prior to this contracts were between $110 to $118 with the average sale price around $113. Right now there are 27 of 55 contracts all below $110. This shows a decrease in listing prices...
 
Even before all of this I always wondered at Riviera being called an Epcot resort. Sure - within sight but even AK can see Epcot. ;) It's an Epcot resort like PVB is an Epcot resort. It's within transportation distance of Epcot like all resorts are. Following that rational Pop, AoA and CBR are now referred to as Epcot resorts? Marketing will call it an Epcot resort - I'd expect nothing else.
 
I think this move is going to ultimately drive up the resale price on the 14 resorts once everything settles down. If you're looking to buy and reserve some sort of escape route, buying into the 14 is much smarter. I think what it will do is drive sales away from their new resorts and into the older batch that holds on to some flexibility.

One of the things that's striking me in the memo is this "or". If they were going to branch or another clump of resorts, wouldn't they have put an "and" there? My gut is going forward with the new resorts, if you buy resale, you'll only be able to stay where you buy.

"Effective January 19, 2019, only Members who purchase directly from Disney will be able to use their Vacation Points at the 14 existing Disney Vacation Club Resorts or future Resorts—such as Disney’s Riviera Resort or Reflections – A Disney Lakeside Lodge."

On that note, it should have said "will be able to use their Vacation Points at the 14 existing Disney Vacation Club Resorts AND future Resorts."
 
Even before all of this I always wondered at Riviera being called an Epcot resort. Sure - within sight but even AK can see Epcot. ;) It's an Epcot resort like PVB is an Epcot resort. It's within transportation distance of Epcot like all resorts are. Following that rational Pop, AoA and CBR are now referred to as Epcot resorts? Marketing will call it an Epcot resort - I'd expect nothing else.

Well -- the gondola does go straight from Riviera to epcot without having to change stations. AoO and Pop both will have to switch stations I believe...kind of like going from resort monorail to Epcot at TTC.
 
I hope those of you saying our resale prices will continue to rise are right. If I'm wrong about them dropping, then I am just wrong. No harm, no foul. If I am right, then we all just got taken to the cleaners by DVC management. If this newest restriction doesn't depress the active and competitive resale market, just wait. They'll come up with something else...
 

I think that contracts purchased through resales should only be allowed to book at their "Home Resorts" not any of the 14 existing resorts. That may relieve some of the pressure of trying to book at the more desirable resorts. If someone bought a resale at OKW then that should be the only resort they could book. I know there may be a few people who would disagree , but people who paid a premium to buy directly from DVC should have some advantage over those who chose to buy at a lower price on the resale market. I'm sure Disney is thinking about this change to encourage direct sales and lower resale prices for ROFR.
 
I think that contracts purchased through resales should only be allowed to book at their "Home Resorts" not any of the 14 existing resorts. That may relieve some of the pressure of trying to book at the more desirable resorts. If someone bought a resale at OKW then that should be the only resort they could book. I know there may be a few people who would disagree , but people who paid a premium to buy directly from DVC should have some advantage over those who chose to buy at a lower price on the resale market. I'm sure Disney is thinking about this change to encourage direct sales and lower resale prices for ROFR.
Okay, but maybe you should consider the resale vs direct statistics for some of those popular resorts as it might impact direct buyers ability to trade into them.

Like MANY others I bought BCV resale to stay at BCV. If we’re all restricted to home resort I’m good with that. Might not be so good for direct buyers of other resorts looking to stay at BCV every so often...
 
I think that contracts purchased through resales should only be allowed to book at their "Home Resorts" not any of the 14 existing resorts. That may relieve some of the pressure of trying to book at the more desirable resorts. If someone bought a resale at OKW then that should be the only resort they could book. I know there may be a few people who would disagree , but people who paid a premium to buy directly from DVC should have some advantage over those who chose to buy at a lower price on the resale market. I'm sure Disney is thinking about this change to encourage direct sales and lower resale prices for ROFR.

It wouldn't relieve pressure on "desirable resorts" because those resorts also have a lot of resale owners. Those people would then be locked into that resort meaning less trading out by owners.
 
I think that contracts purchased through resales should only be allowed to book at their "Home Resorts" not any of the 14 existing resorts. That may relieve some of the pressure of trying to book at the more desirable resorts. If someone bought a resale at OKW then that should be the only resort they could book. I know there may be a few people who would disagree , but people who paid a premium to buy directly from DVC should have some advantage over those who chose to buy at a lower price on the resale market. I'm sure Disney is thinking about this change to encourage direct sales and lower resale prices for ROFR.

Likely all it would mean is that it would place more pressure on booking the home resort itself at 11 months. Since they would know that's it where they have to stay they would be motivated to be certain they get their dates. So you are correct, I for one do not see a restriction like that being beneficial. I'd think twice about owning some place where the resale buyers were restricted to booking it alone. With no hope for trades it would become awful when the home priority booking window opened. I guess another reason to not buy Riviera now that I think about it.
 
I think that contracts purchased through resales should only be allowed to book at their "Home Resorts" not any of the 14 existing resorts. That may relieve some of the pressure of trying to book at the more desirable resorts. If someone bought a resale at OKW then that should be the only resort they could book. I know there may be a few people who would disagree , but people who paid a premium to buy directly from DVC should have some advantage over those who chose to buy at a lower price on the resale market. I'm sure Disney is thinking about this change to encourage direct sales and lower resale prices for ROFR.

Have you bought your house from the builder or "resale" from someone else?
Would you buy a house from the builder if the contract says if you sell it, half the house will be teared down so the new purchaser can only use half of it?
Wouldn't you be worried about what the resale value of your house? Or would you buy it anyway because someone buying a new home and paying the premium for it should get something more?
 
I think that contracts purchased through resales should only be allowed to book at their "Home Resorts" not any of the 14 existing resorts. That may relieve some of the pressure of trying to book at the more desirable resorts. If someone bought a resale at OKW then that should be the only resort they could book. I know there may be a few people who would disagree , but people who paid a premium to buy directly from DVC should have some advantage over those who chose to buy at a lower price on the resale market. I'm sure Disney is thinking about this change to encourage direct sales and lower resale prices for ROFR.

Be very careful what you wish for, you might not get the results you think.

Imagine if BWV was all owner by resale owners, since you don't want to allow them to trade out, you can't trade in because there are no points that can trade out.

The vast majority of owners do not own for life, I think I saw something that 9-10 years is the average length of time that owners keep DVC for. The oldest resort still has 25 years left, I bet there are more resale owners there now than original owners.
 
Hi everyone,

I think this announcement is only round 1... DVD management probably has very creative plans under their belt to kill the resale market.

For example, I can easily imagine that once you hold a Riviera contract and that the resort is completely sold out, you will be able to list it via Disney onto their own DVC market/resale/auction/whatever website. The prices would be carefully monitored, with Disney allowing them to go down a bit depending on offer/demand, but everything would stay above what Disney is considering reasonable. A % on every transaction would go to Disney, that would vary depending on the $ (lower $, higher %). Every buyer would have access to trade their points onto the whole 15+ resorts. The alternative would be to buy Riviera resale outside of Disney at a lower price but only to stay at Riviera, or a classic-14 resort to only trade into classic-14 resorts. The appeal of buying via Disney would be high, and the difference in prices between Disney and resale outside of Disney would be lower than it is now.

For Disney, this would mean reclaiming most of the resale market, and less work to adapt ROFR purchases to direct sales demand as well as less paperwork to alter/merge contracts, etc, as contracts would be sold as they are. It would also give the buyer an impression to get 'a better price' than they do now. Prices for sold-out resorts via Disney would be lower than they are now of course, but a lot more of the sales would go through Disney's hands, and Disney would make lots of extra $$$. They figured 'People want to sell their contracts? No problem. The more they sell, the more $$$ we will make now'.

But that's only my idea... What do you think they will go for next?
 
I’m sure many of you are on the email threads. Prices aren’t “tanking”, but they are coming down for now. There are a lot of very reasonably priced contracts considering the prices as of late that have just been sitting for days/weeks.
 
I’m sure many of you are on the email threads. Prices aren’t “tanking”, but they are coming down for now. There are a lot of very reasonably priced contracts considering the prices as of late that have just been sitting for days/weeks.

I've been eyeing my plan B, C, & D if my current contract is taken in ROFR. I'm very encouraged that some of the wildly high BWV prices seem to be tempering.
 



















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