Paul is playing an okay game. He is not playing a great game because of all the help he is getting from production. He was given 8 friendship bracelets, pretty much setting up an automatic alliance for him; he was given 3 weeks of safety and he wasn't in the house when the first eviction happened with Cameron, so he was safe from 4 evictions total.
For his first HoH he as going to put Mark and Elena up as pawns, goes into the diary room and comes out saying you know I think putting up 2 alliances members up as pawns is not such a great idea. Call me skeptical but I think production told him putting up 2 alliance members as pawns was not a great idea.
Cody got totally screwed by the temptation. After Megan quit they should have called off the eviction for that week. Making him nominate 5 people, a third of the cast, was ridiculous and pretty much set him up for failure for the rest of the season. If Megan had quit when Paul was HoH, guaranteed they would have just cancelled the eviction for that week and not put Paul in the position to nominate a third of the cast.
The only way for them to get Paul out is during the double eviction, that way production doesn't have time to do anything about it.
Listen, I like Paul, I think he should have won last year hands down, he didn't because production wanted Nicole to win, plain and simple, but 2 wrongs don't make a right. Production needs to stay out of it and just let people play like they did in the earlier seasons when this show was really good. Stop bringing back returnees and giving them the world to make sure they win.