I think some people are starting to go into panic mode. It's tough to have patience when it's getting this close....
I booked 2 rooms at Pop Century. If the code comes out and it's cheaper than $99 per night to move to a moderate, we are moving on up. If not, we stay at Pop Century....no biggie.
I think alot of those codes come out because the moderates and higher priced hotels don't fill up. They end up moving people who would have stayed at a value up a notch to moderate and end up getting people that may have stayed off site to come into the values. Most people just move up a notch.
Looking back over the historical chart since 2001 on mousesavers.com, AP rates have come out regularly over the past 3 years:
2001
April 22nd thru December 25th
2002
January 1st thru February 13th
April 21st thru December 19th
(Feb 27th thru Apr 20th - Special Discount Promo Packages - Gen. Public)
2003
January 1st thru April 9th
April 28th thru August 23rd
October 2nd thru December 26th
(Jul 4th thru Oct 30th - 7 for 4 Special Promo Package - Gen. Public)
I think it's pretty safe to say that some type of discount will be coming soon.....AP or other.
Also....I think Disney puts out the AP discount to sell more AP's. Take me for example....if no AP rate comes out, then I will purchase Park Hopper Plus tickets. If an AP rate does come out, I will purchase at least 1 AP. If I purchase that 1 AP, we are already talking about trying to plan another vacation before the AP expires. Disney will end up making more money because I will be tempted to go back within the year to get more value out of my AP. That means....more reservations, more concessions and meals, more shopping, etc...etc....
Just my opinion......
Also....if the rooms are not "full" for peak season, then regular season should not be any different.....but, you never know.
speedyf
