Quick side note- I love the
DVC show. It’s so informative and everyone is so insightful regarding DVC.
Now to the topic... after Reflections is built I think Disney will get down to solving the DVC market once and for all. The earliest contracts will have less than 20 years remaining and short of an unforeseen circumstance I don’t think there will be any new DVC properties on the horizon (at least at WDW). So yes, I think Disney rolls their sleeves up and puts a plan in place for the future of DVC. I’ve said it before that the next time they roll out new contracts they should do so not based off of “home resorts” but rather booking windows. An 11 month booking privilege would carry the highest cost per point. And a 5 month booking privilege would carry the lowest cost per point. Additionally, Disney will phase out the resale market by forcing all non-direct resale contracts into the 5 month window regardless of what window was originally purchased. If all resorts were equal the home resort wouldn’t matter but let’s face it they’re not. VGF is much nicer and better located than SSR and their resale point values reflect that. By leveling the market you create a new supply/demand dynamic of 1)ensuring you purchase enough points to book your favorite resort(s). 2)ensuring you purchase a booking window that gives you the best opportunity to book at those resorts during your desired time prefer to visit.
Here’s a quick example:
We all know that BCV studios have been in high demand for a while now and to book a week in a studio you need to have about 130 points available. Also, if you miss the 11 month window you will most likely be out of luck with booking a studio.
So under my proposed system you would need to A) Buy around 130 points and B) purchase the 11 month booking option at the highest cost per point.