I had bought a 4-pack of Kirkland sanitizing wipes about two weeks before all of the Covid-19 shopping frenzy happened. I figured that by the time I was getting low, things would be back to normal and I could find more on the shelves. After more than three months, I still can't find them. Sanitizing wipes and Clorox Anywhere Spray are the last two items on my Bingo card before I feel like I have what I need to continue forward safely and with few trips to the stores in the future.
I admit to keeping a fairly well-stocked pantry/freezer/personal care and household items supply normally. We almost always have an heir and a spare for many items like cleaning supplies and hygiene items, plus two refrigerators, one chest freezer, and a storage room for food items. I realize that we are fortunate to have these options available and that many do not have the space to commit to this amount of storage. For the most part, we have been using what we have on hand, but as items reappear in stores for a more reasonable cost, we have been replacing what has been used. I have learned not to take things for granted though. I know I can't always trust an item we need/want to be available (or at a reasonable price!!!), so I have tried to build in "levels" to our food supplies. For example:
milk: fresh jugs of milk in the refrigerator; milk frozen in jugs in the chest freezer; shelf stable milk; evaporated and powdered milk (good for baking, especially Saco Cultured Buttermilk Blend)
bread: fresh bread items; frozen bread items or frozen bread dough; ingredients on hand for making no-knead bread or quick bread items as necessary. Yeast will store for years past its expiration date if kept in the freezer.
potatoes: fresh potatoes; frozen potato items (I have successfully frozen home-made creamy mashed potatoes and twice-baked potatoes); dried potato flakes
You get the idea. Fresh, frozen, shelf-stable, repeat.
It even works for items like...
lemons: fresh; fresh juiced and frozen in ice cube trays; True Lemon powder (real dehydrated lemon...just add water. They have lime and orange as well.)
basil, garlic, and other herbs: fresh, preferably as plants, but I notoriously end up killing them; Dorot frozen basil (they also have ginger, garlic, cilantro) or freezing fresh herbs yourself; and then dried (which is usually my last resort)
It would take awhile for us to run completely out of food and other items; however, one of our biggest obstacles through all of this is that we far prefer to eat a lot of fresh food items...berries, salads, bananas, zucchini, mushrooms, asparagus and broccoli, etc. We have really tried to keep our trips out for fresh items down to once every 10 to 14 days, but it is hard. Some things are just not as good frozen, dried, etc. or have no viable equivalent (like lettuce). After a shopping trip, it is like a "feast" to use up all of the fresh stuff before it spoils, vs. a "famine" towards the end, as we resort to our more long-term options for produce. We have learned things though, like that head lettuce keeps longer than mixed greens, and that asparagus lasts longer if stood upright in the fridge as opposed to laying down.
All of this to say, am I worried about fall supplies? Not so much personally...but I do think things are going to continue to be bad virus-wise, so we will be relying heavily upon what we can set aside now to greatly reduce our trips out (and our expenses, if costs rise again) in the upcoming months. At the beginning of the first wave, back in March, every week we were asking ourselves, "Is it still safe enough to run to the grocery store?" We finally reached a point that we decided to stretch our trips out as much as possible. We continue in that holding pattern and I don't see that changing before things potentially get bad again this fall. I am trying to take what I have learned of shortages during the first months of this pandemic, to fill in the holes based on our family's preferences, so that maybe subsequent waves will be less of an impact on us.