drysdaleo
palmharbormichelle
- Joined
- Nov 14, 2010
- Messages
- 82
The 13 footer that was removed at the beginning of 2015 would have been interesting to know he came from.
Nope, the population is actually very stable. The state issues tags and hunting permits to keep the population stable. To give you an example, there are normally around 10,000 applicants for the 5000 permits that are given out in an average year. Each permit allows 2 alligators to be harvested. This is the state wide lottery hunt. Then there are the private lands management programs in place to keep the population in check."Statewide, 6,706 alligators were harvested in 2014."
So if they're harvesting around 7,000/year in Florida, and there are 1.3 million, and each female can produce up to 90 young/year, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that the alligator population in Florida is increasing at an exponential rate. Which for you non-rocket scientists out there means that the population growth is getting faster every year. This is not a good thing, and not ecologically sound.
Im in Da Bayou. 13 footers, while not common, aren't super super rare either.Australia most likely. Or possibly a time traveler from the Cretaceous.
"Statewide, 6,706 alligators were harvested in 2014."
So if they're harvesting around 7,000/year in Florida, and there are 1.3 million, and each female can produce up to 90 young/year, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that the alligator population in Florida is increasing at an exponential rate. Which for you non-rocket scientists out there means that the population growth is getting faster every year. This is not a good thing, and not ecologically sound.
It is only not ecologically sound if the ecosystem can not support that many gators and we have not reached that point yet from what I have read. Also, they may produce 90, but only around 5 young survive according to Fish and Wildlife. You also do not factor in other causes of death for gators. The numbers are growing, but certainly not exponentially.
Nope, the population is actually very stable.
Because the egg estimates and nest counts that happen every year say so. The 6700 alligators taken last year is not program wide. That number was the number of nuisance alligators removed. There is no mention of the numbers removed on private land or the eggs harvested by farmers. I have attached the report of the NUISANCE alligators removed. It looks strangely similar to the number in the article. Hmmm, coincidence? I think not.Ok, let's take a minimalist set of numbers. F&W says that there are 1.3 million gators in Fla. If we assume less than 10% of those breed (100,000) and each of those only produce 1 young which survives to adulthood, that's 100,000 new adult gators every year. If 10,000 are culled each year, that leaves a net increase of 90,000 gators/year. That certainly doesn't sound like a stable population to me, even if it's half that number. In all likelyhood, the number is higher. So how exactly do you conclude that the population is "stable"?
Unless there is a vast increase in the amount of protected habitat and prey animals and a vast decrease in the predators who eat baby gators, it is impossible for there to be a vast increase in the gator population.
Ok, let's take a minimalist set of numbers. F&W says that there are 1.3 million gators in Fla. If we assume less than 10% of those breed (100,000) and each of those only produce 1 young which survives to adulthood, that's 100,000 new adult gators every year. If 10,000 are culled each year, that leaves a net increase of 90,000 gators/year. That certainly doesn't sound like a stable population to me, even if it's half that number. In all likelyhood, the number is higher. So how exactly do you conclude that the population is "stable"?
Because the egg estimates and nest counts that happen every year say so.