And this is why I think it will be the same association (barring a high ratio of deluxe studios in the Poly2).
From a marketing perspective they can have their cake and eat it too:
- Can market to 'hotel room people' that Poly-combined has tons of well regarded studios
- "You get home resort booking advantage to this great new Tower, plus all the existing studios that people love...you get 2 home resorts for the price of one"
- Can market to 'big room people' that Poly now has big rooms
- "This is the first time the Poly has had bigger rooms [we don't talk about the Bungalows], think of the Poly vibe but now you can comfortably fit your whole family in a 2BR"
- "Oh you're an existing Poly owner? You probably need more points for those bigger rooms, better add on!
"
- To the semi-informed they can say the 'Bungalow effect' has been diluted because there's now more non-Bungalow points
I don't think most buyers, let alone first-time buyers, think about booking competition effects much (and if they do, Guides aren't always forthcoming). Even if buyers do think about competition effects, it's usually a secondary consideration and is very easy to rationalize away ("I'll just wake up early 11 months out"). And it should be a secondary consideration for most--on this forum the number one answer for "Which resort should I buy at?" is "Buy where you want to stay". And that's the right answer. People want to stay at the Poly and a combined association allows them to market
even more Poly.
When you really examine it like a lot on this forum do you see the downsides, but in terms of being informed and which factors matter in a purchasing decision, this group on this forum is not the norm or remotely indicative of it. If you know some DVC-curious people or DVC owners that aren't into the weeds of ownership, think about what will sell easier to them, which one they will instinctively
want more: Combo Poly or Split Poly.
And if you think Split Poly is easier to sell, think about how much negative marketing and rationalization ("well no, you can't book there but THEY can't book here either" or "oh but it's always easy to book there at 7 months") will need to be done to make that happen compared to Combo Poly.