And on the flip side, if a person needs 4 years to save up the entire cost, they could end up paying $120/point in 2012 PLUS the cost of a cash reservation...
So IF a person is going to go to WDW multiple times during the period they are also saving for DVC, they might as well finance it now..
As I said, everyone has to find a number they're comfortable with.
You're thinking you'd spend, with the hypothetical $120 a point. I think , at least $6000 to $10000 on accomodations over that 4 year span....or somewhere around $1500 to $2500 per year. That would be the break even point with your hypothetical price point, right?
$120 per point, net, after discount x 200 points = $24000 (though you wouldn't need to fully fund the $24k in cash...I'm assuming by "saving up" you mean putting money in something that earns interest until it's time to actually buy into DVC...but maybe that's outside the scope of this conversation).
Cost of credit through Disney, max term, depending on rate: $30000 to $34000.
The difference would be $6000 or $10000.
FYI, I think your $120 a point, net, is a TOUCH high if taking into account incentives...you'd be talking a $24 per point increase in "actual" cost, which is higher than we've seen. I think we'll likely see prices at AROUND $120 per point (I'm going to use that number, just to get a good range..but it might be a couple bucks higher), but with the $8 per point incentive still in place, too. That would bear out closer with the historical trends, I think. Given THAT scenario:
200 * $112= 22400
Same cost of credit.
Now the difference is between $7500 and $11600, or $1875/$2900 yearly depending on the rate you get from Disney.
For ME, the cost of that credit, in EITHER the $120 ppt OR $113 ppt scenarios, is still just too expensive for a luxury item (useful or not). I wouldn't pull the trigger, but that's me (and I'm relatively conservative with our money), even when taking into account room costs over the time it takes to save up.
But everyone needs to spend their own money, and make their own decisions.
One other thing: If you have about $2000 per year to spend on Disney cash rooms + the approx $5000 per year in disposable income to "save up" over 4 years to buy into DVC (because the viability of your proposed scenario hinges on your ability to do that, whether you do THAT or finance)....youre' right: likely financing isn't a bad thing. You obviously have the disposable income to handle it, and cost of credit might not be as daunting in comparison to your ability to save. In addition. if you were in that position, and took the credit terms I outlined...you wouldn't need to push the loan to full term, because the difference between your monthly payments and what you would have been "saving up" is pretty drastic, so your cost of credit would be much lower, anyway (provided you took that savings "difference" an applied it back to the principle of the loan).
Actually, in thinking about it, the scenario you outline pretty much nets out to what happened, in practice, for me.
But if your plan is to finance for the full term (10 years) through Disney....I'm just not comfortable with the total cost of that credit, or the eventual price per point calculation.