(When) will DVC go “negative”?

[davidhr]

No legit data published data but I have seen around the 6 day mark. I just always use 7 as its a nice round number for the week.

You can think about it this way that every day the chance the person leaving their hotel room hits up a specific park is:
MK - 36%, Epcot - 25%, HS - 21%, AK - 18%
*even this could be off though based on locals or special ticket promos

If someone ends up in Epcot again it would be strange for them to skip where a majority of food and 2 of the top 3 attractions is. That was really my only view.

If we really want to go with the 6 day length then it would mean 50% of people would hit Epcot 2x and 50% would only hit Epcot 1x for their stay.

Running some quick back-of-the-napkin-super-difficult-calculation taking those numbers as they are, a visitor with a 7 day single park ticket will visit Epcot 1.75 times. That’s the point I would say “Most visitors will visit Epcot twice during their trip”. Of course, park hoppers will need less days. But as you mentioned, locals also affect these numbers in the other direction. So let’s assume that’s a wash (probably it isn’t, but I have no idea if it’s one way or the other).

So based on the assumptions that the chance of a visitor going to Epcot each day is 25% and the average park days per visit = 7, yes, we can say most visitors will visit Epcot at least twice during their visit. Anything under 7 and the chances are that it’ll be less than 2.

As there’s no way for us to know this, everyone can decide if 7 days looks ok or it’s too high to keep the discussion going

 

[DVCyore]

I can only assume anybody spending 7+ days at WDW with kids under 5 is a masochist.

Visitors from the UK and Ireland tend to spend 2 weeks at WDW due to the tickets available to them. The same goes for the vast majority of international guests (I know many other countries in the EU and Australia also buy the “UK” 14 day tickets)

 

[Cfabar1]

Visitors from the UK and Ireland tend to spend 2 weeks at WDW due to the tickets available to them. The same goes for the vast majority of international guests (I know many other countries in the EU and Australia also buy the “UK” 14 day tickets)

I feel like a 14 day ticket and a stay at OKW go perfectly hand in hand...

 

[atthebeachclub]

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Visitors from the UK and Ireland tend to spend 2 weeks at WDW due to the tickets available to them. The same goes for the vast majority of international guests (I know many other countries in the EU and Australia also buy the “UK” 14 day tickets)

Funny thing…US and Canadian citizens can also buy the 14 day tickets, most just don’t realize it. I’ve bought them twice. They aren’t always a deal; it really depends on how many days you want to stay.

 

[Chili327]

Not arguing it because I have no data. Is there a source where we can see the average Disney trip length? I’ve a hard time believing the average WDW visitor hits a park twice during a trip. But that’s personal experience and not a fact, so happy to be proved wrong.

I usually have a 6-8 day hopper and I hit Epcot at least twice, probably more like 3-4 time per trip.
But I hardly ever only visit one park per day. I usually plan for one park in the day 10/11 to 4 then another park after 4-5pm to close.

 

[Sandisw]

Not arguing it because I have no data. Is there a source where we can see the average Disney trip length? I’ve a hard time believing the average WDW visitor hits a park twice during a trip. But that’s personal experience and not a fact, so happy to be proved wrong.

What I can say based on actual information via actually cash bookings, we do a lot more trips in the 4 to 5 night range than 7 nights.

More often than not, they do not choose park hoppers.

Repeat days tend to be MK or HS

They are hoping the new summer promo which allows you to get a 6 night trip for price of 4 gets people to stay longer!

 

[eticketplease]

I usually have a 6-8 day hopper and I hit Epcot at least twice, probably more like 3-4 time per trip.
But I hardly ever only visit one park per day. I usually plan for one park in the day 10/11 to 4 then another park after 4-5pm to close.

I commend your efforts!!

Even with AP's we are generally a one park per day family though unless we go and grab a bite to eat at Epcot or if its a Monday or Wednesday when Extended Evening hours are occuring.