One thing to consider is that the difference between resale and direct is less the longer you keep the contract. Resale and direct dues are the same, and after 40 years, a considerable large part of the cost of the contract will be those dues.
I’m perfectly fine with resale for SAP (I’m purchasing resale for that now) or for very specific purposes. For general points, I can’t see myself paying 70% of the contract in expensive dues for restricted points.
You can also argue that the value of the money you pay for the contract today is more than in 40 years. And you’re correct. But if we go that route then
DVC doesn’t even make sense as resale.
But I’m also relatively young and, if my health allows it, I expect to be traveling in 40 years.
I guess I'm completely different.
The bonuses by going direct just simply are not worth it when we do the math. As stated before if the 10% off is so important then use a Disney Visa or get an annual pass.
I almost bought direct Riviera in March of 2020...but yea, being the start of Covid, we had no idea what would happen and decided against it. We were literally about to sign and decided to back off.
But, I'm so very glad I bought resale.
People mention restrictions, to me the "restrictions" are a pittance for the amount we saved on resale and I'll buy another resale within a year easily. We only go to WDW, don't do cruises and I don't care about a lounge. So if I'm only missing out on booking Riviera (which I do enjoy) and some future hotel they may build in the future. I'm good with that. I am fortunate to have more Hyatt Points than I need and that's the same with Marriott, especially as Marriott keeps merging with others. In fact, we even contemplated just using points at Dolphin or Swan, but they are just so generic that while we've used points to book them both for usually a first night arrival at WDW, it's definitely not my idea of a Disney vacation. I still have a LOT of properties I can book for at a bare minimum of 18 years from now with a resale contract.
I get someone saying; "well the longer you own it the less the difference is". Well, kind of and kind of not. It's still a difference and I still saved a lot of cost and buy in by going resale.
for example:
VGF finished selling direct at around $230 pp
Had I bought 250 pts at that time I'm at roughly $57,500 (can't recall incentives).
Now, if I buy a resale contract for 250 pts I'm at roughly $165 pp for a total of $41,250. And that's if I offer the asking price.
So that's still a $16,000 difference.
Let's say I go once per year and we like to go during Food and Wine and usually do a week. So that would cost me roughly 237 pts at VGF for a week in a 1 BR. Now, I still have to get tickets. So that $16,000 gets me a 7 day ticket for 2 with park hopper (at current price in September of $1,382) for let's say 10 years.
So that' 10 years worth of park tickets (possibly more depending on ticket increases, etc) for the difference in resale vs direct.
Sure, at some point I'll be past the "savings" but that's fine, I still saved $16,000 and missed out on nothing I'd personally miss.
But, if you're someone that wants to do the cruises or Disney Adventures with points, or likes a lounge, etc. then I understand why the value is there by going Direct. But for us, not so much.