drusba
I went to Iowa once, and it was closed.
- Joined
- Aug 19, 1999
- Messages
- 14,887
Clearly everything is now speculation, but I would be interested in what kind of benefits people think DVD will actually announce for a privileged tier. Here are considerations in the evaluation:
1. Dean is correct that any tier system's main purpose from Disney's viewpoint is to bring in more sales and thus whatever benefits are created for the privileged tier have to be good enough to make many below that tier have a desire to purchase more points (or similarly make the lower tier feel deprived enough so a number of them will purchase more points). Thus offering further discounts on boat rentals, backstage tours, etc. would not impress.
2. Countering that is Disney's mentality. Based on DVD's (and Disney's) history it will be extremely hard for it to actually provide those "good enough" benefits. I mean something like free APs might approach good enough but DVD and Disney mangement would likely commit suicide before providing something like that. Many of us remember that it took about 10 years of constant begging for members to get an AP discount (off of which Disney still makes a huge profit). Before that they tried introducing what they thought was a "great" deal on a special five day park pass which then virtually no one bought because it wasn't a deal at all. Their mind set thinks that perks they often give are great even though the members believe most of those perks are of little benefit.
3. The mention that the tier system may also be related to number of referrals indicates that the Disney mindset doesn't really know how to create a tier system to accomplish the purpose of getting members to buy more points and may have already doomed the possibility of providing anything that is "good enough." No matter what benefits they attach to referrals that is not going to result in most members going out and knocking on the doors of people they know to generate referrals. Most members simply do not want to be salesmen for Disney. Providing incentives for referrals is not a tier system, it is just what it would be, providing something more than they already provide for a referral which anyone might get one time because some relative decides to buy.
4. Likely they are not going to mess with reservation rules. Besides possible legal issues, doing so really would not be that "good enough" for the privileged tier while at the same time it would anger far too many. Most who have or will buy a huge number of points likely fall into two groups -- they have most or all at one resort and generally don't care if they stay at another or they buy points at multiple resorts to have the 11 month window at each. The 11 month window is already fine. Those members generally get whatever they want at 11 months out. The 7 month window makes little difference to most of them because those who want to stay at other resorts have bought at the other resorts to get the 11 month window. In other words, getting some additonal priority in reservation time may sound like something but it really isn't "good enough." Moreover, if the tier has benefits based on referrals I seriously doubt the benefits will include any preferred booking time.
5. What that means is that DVD will probably come up with some perks but it is really hard to conceive of any that would be good enough particularly when you consider that the Disney mindset would want to assure that the perks really end up making them money, e.g., such as discounts off something where they still profit even at the lower price. For most perks, the DVD side of Disney has to have the agreement of the WDW and park side of Disney. I am not too concerned about the issue of one side charging the other for something. Never forget this is really all one company and in those situations you are simply talking about accounting as to which particular division or subsidiary gets charged for something but whether that occurs or not really has little to do with whether perks will be provided. However, the Disney mindset has a lot to do with it -- they really like to provide perks only if they also make a profit off of them. Maybe they will act differently this time, but that is a questionable maybe.
Thus, what are predictions for what they will actually provide? I am stumped. There is mention of free fastpasses. That is another doubtful choice unless it is very limited in number in which case it will not be "good enough." In other words, they are not likely to give enough FPs for the privileged group to basically rise to having ride priority for all popular rides all day long, which could be "good enough." Another mention was valet parking but there they would be negotiating with another company outside of Disney to which valet has been outsourced and that company cannot afford to provide free valet and Disney is not going to pay for it out of the goodness of its heart. Ultimately, I am guessing the Disney mindset will win out and when it is finally announced many will just go ho-hum.
1. Dean is correct that any tier system's main purpose from Disney's viewpoint is to bring in more sales and thus whatever benefits are created for the privileged tier have to be good enough to make many below that tier have a desire to purchase more points (or similarly make the lower tier feel deprived enough so a number of them will purchase more points). Thus offering further discounts on boat rentals, backstage tours, etc. would not impress.
2. Countering that is Disney's mentality. Based on DVD's (and Disney's) history it will be extremely hard for it to actually provide those "good enough" benefits. I mean something like free APs might approach good enough but DVD and Disney mangement would likely commit suicide before providing something like that. Many of us remember that it took about 10 years of constant begging for members to get an AP discount (off of which Disney still makes a huge profit). Before that they tried introducing what they thought was a "great" deal on a special five day park pass which then virtually no one bought because it wasn't a deal at all. Their mind set thinks that perks they often give are great even though the members believe most of those perks are of little benefit.
3. The mention that the tier system may also be related to number of referrals indicates that the Disney mindset doesn't really know how to create a tier system to accomplish the purpose of getting members to buy more points and may have already doomed the possibility of providing anything that is "good enough." No matter what benefits they attach to referrals that is not going to result in most members going out and knocking on the doors of people they know to generate referrals. Most members simply do not want to be salesmen for Disney. Providing incentives for referrals is not a tier system, it is just what it would be, providing something more than they already provide for a referral which anyone might get one time because some relative decides to buy.
4. Likely they are not going to mess with reservation rules. Besides possible legal issues, doing so really would not be that "good enough" for the privileged tier while at the same time it would anger far too many. Most who have or will buy a huge number of points likely fall into two groups -- they have most or all at one resort and generally don't care if they stay at another or they buy points at multiple resorts to have the 11 month window at each. The 11 month window is already fine. Those members generally get whatever they want at 11 months out. The 7 month window makes little difference to most of them because those who want to stay at other resorts have bought at the other resorts to get the 11 month window. In other words, getting some additonal priority in reservation time may sound like something but it really isn't "good enough." Moreover, if the tier has benefits based on referrals I seriously doubt the benefits will include any preferred booking time.
5. What that means is that DVD will probably come up with some perks but it is really hard to conceive of any that would be good enough particularly when you consider that the Disney mindset would want to assure that the perks really end up making them money, e.g., such as discounts off something where they still profit even at the lower price. For most perks, the DVD side of Disney has to have the agreement of the WDW and park side of Disney. I am not too concerned about the issue of one side charging the other for something. Never forget this is really all one company and in those situations you are simply talking about accounting as to which particular division or subsidiary gets charged for something but whether that occurs or not really has little to do with whether perks will be provided. However, the Disney mindset has a lot to do with it -- they really like to provide perks only if they also make a profit off of them. Maybe they will act differently this time, but that is a questionable maybe.
Thus, what are predictions for what they will actually provide? I am stumped. There is mention of free fastpasses. That is another doubtful choice unless it is very limited in number in which case it will not be "good enough." In other words, they are not likely to give enough FPs for the privileged group to basically rise to having ride priority for all popular rides all day long, which could be "good enough." Another mention was valet parking but there they would be negotiating with another company outside of Disney to which valet has been outsourced and that company cannot afford to provide free valet and Disney is not going to pay for it out of the goodness of its heart. Ultimately, I am guessing the Disney mindset will win out and when it is finally announced many will just go ho-hum.