Like jaysue, I am reluctant to jump into this
but I think I can add something to the discussion,
so here goes:
First off, let me say that we have a 10-day trip
to OKW coming up in late June and we have
no intentions of changing our plans...as of now.
But we all need to know that this situation
*is* serious and that it could indeed worsen
to the point where it could affect all of us.
SARS in not the flu. It is nasty and, yes,
potentially deadly. Most people who contract it
do recover, as has been noted already. But in
addition to the 4% who do not survive, an
additional percentage of SARS patients
require hospitalization and breathing assistance.
While most fatalities from flu tend to be older
and sicker people to begin with, a number of
those who die from SARS are young and healthy
before getting the SARS virus.
And, although health officials are doing everything
they can to stop it from spreading, there are
indications that it is not yet controlled. If SARS
becomes a pandemic in China, it will eventually
find its way to the rest of the world as well.
The virus that causes SARS is easily spread;
it may be transmitted via persons who are
infected but have little or no signs of illness,
according to scientists studying the disease.
While there is no evidence yet to confirm this,
researchers believe that such "super
spreaders" may be responsible for many
of the new cases being seen in Hong Kong
and the rest of China.
Microbiologists at the University of Hong Kong
have predicted that SARS could infect up to
80 percent of the population within a year,
although it is not clear how they came up
with such a number.
Again, I am not posting this information to scare
or alarm anyone. But I think we all need to know
just what the potential is. I don't believe this
is all "media hype;" this could very easily end
up being a serious and dangerous situation to
all of us in the months ahead.
I hope that's not the case. I will be more than
happy to write back in August and admit that
I was way too concerned about this.
But in the meantime, I'm washing my hands more
often and keeping my distance from folks with bad coughs...