I think Riviera is going to be a winner in many ways. It is beautiful. I like the skyliner access, and it seems like Disney has done a first rate job.
However, there are some potential problems. Biggest one - and this WILL affect EVERYONE who owns there - is the restrictions on resales. I had $25,000 saved in the bank as a down payment on some points at Riviera. I was going to buy. I told everyone I was going to buy. But then Disney announced their very idiotic restrictions and I pulled the plug.
What is the problem with the Resale Restrictions? One obvious thing is that, if you need to sell for some reason, you are probably not going to get as good a return on your resale, compared to some other properties. BUT THAT ISN'T THE BIGGEST PROBLEM. Here is the big problem: Over time, there WILL be resales at Riviera, and every one of those people will be locked into Riviera and ONLY Riviera. Imagine a time comes when 10% or even 20% of the owners are resale owners.
Now, look at it from the point of view of those resale owners, who can't go anywhere else. They will know that there will be NOTHING available after the 7 month window, because other
DVC owners will be jumping in to reserve Riviera rooms. This means that those Riviera Resale Owners, who are now second class citizens in DVC like never before, will absolutely HAVE TO BOOK THEIR ROOMS DURING THE 7 TO 11 MONTH WINDOW. Even if they don't know their travel dates. Even if they don't plan to go that year. Sure, they can bank their points and use them, at Riviera, next year, but then when they bank their points for the following year, eventually, they are going to need to use them, or lose them. In order not to lose them, they will book early early early, so they can get a decent unit before all the Studios are snapped up. AND, if they can't use them, they will rent them out, which also means trying to get the most attractive units and seasons for their renters. Riviera will become perhaps the most rented DVC property, since many of the owners won't be able to use it, and won't have the access to other properties. Anyway, between the resale owners being motivated to reserve EARLY, either for themselves or for their renters, this will put greatly increased pressure on EVERYONE, including the other 90% or 80% of people who own Direct, and they will also have to start reserving very early, in order to make sure they get anything at all. My prediction is that the average reservation at Riviera will be done significantly earlier in the 11 month window than ANY other resort, on an average.
So, imagine yourself as a Direct owner. You weren't quite sure of your travel dates, so you didn't book at the crack of dawn on the 11 month window opening. Now it is 10 months out. There are no Tower studios available, of course. There are no Standard view studios available. There probably aren't even any Preferred View Studios, by the time you reach 10 months. All that you might be able to find is some 1 bedroom units, Preferred View, and they will cost you a lot more points. A 1 bedroom in the last 2 weeks of February will be 53 points per night on weekdays, and 63 points per night on weekends. Ouch. And those are Preferred View, since even the Standard View 1 bedrooms will also be gone.
Now, maybe I am going to be wrong here, though I can't imagine how. Every Riviera Resale, done by someone else, will decrease the effective quality and usefulness of Riviera for those who ARE NOT reselling.
What do you guys think?