Paul Stupin
New DVC Member
- Joined
- May 8, 2016
- Messages
- 2,778
Yeah the resale restrictions, of any kind, don't make much sense to me. Seems to just kill good will without much reward. We pay MFs regardless of status, and it's not like you are buying points that were never originally sold by DVC. What name is on the deed should be irrelevant. There isn't a logical reason why I should be entitled to AP discounts for having direct, but my points later sold to someone else, where the physical deed isn't different, just the name on it, suddenly isn't entitled to the discount. Disney keeps getting their MFs (yes I know it's supposed to be for hotel upkeep and that, but it's still a huge benefit to them because they aren't having to pay for that), and it's still the same "points".
If they are worried it would drive everyone to just buy resale because it's less expensive, that would have an equilibrium point. The demand for those resale contracts would always be higher than direct so long as resale is still cheaper, but that would increase resale selling prices while still pushing many (if not most) to direct because it's the only way to get the exact points and UY they want and there are a finite number of resale contracts, which is an enticing selling point no matter what for Direct.
They also still have ROFR to reclaim points and so on. They probably wouldn't even lose many direct sales either compared to what they are losing right now with people that research buying direct and see on places like here all the people saying how Disney keeps taking away benefits, and how you don't know what restrictions will come, etc, etc. It almost kept us from buying in, because in ten years Disney could make some move that totally devastates the resale market and now we have no good exit strategy if we ever needed one.
Anyway, I know it's a lost cause to wish for that to be the case. Disney, like most any mega corp, will be easily convinced that the possibility of small profit increase is worth the hit to consumer good will, even with their most loyal customers. The part that sucks is probably half of their decisions haven't really improved profits, but still hit good will.
Sure, people can shrug their shoulders about Riviera right now. But with 2042 resorts going offline for all resale contract owners in less than 20 years, and DLT soon to be part of our world, I think all it would take to deal a major blow to resale is one additional announcement of a new WDW resort with a DVC component. Some spectacular renderings of beautiful accommodations, unique design and fun features could very well tip the balance toward direct, and cause downward pressure in resale prices.I've been around here a long time. The idea that the secondary market is a better dollars-and-cents deal has been around a lot longer than that. The argument about which one is "better" has been around just about as long.
DVC's differentiation between retail and resale is a well-trod path, and plenty of other timeshare developers have been down it. Nearly all of the other major players had some notion of "qualified" membership with benefits--some more tangible than others--long before DVC did. DVC isn't even the first developer to eject resales from the larger "club" and instead have such ownerships revert to their underlying rights. Marriott and Diamond had been doing this for years before RIV came about.
The one place that DVC is different is that, so far, there is no way to "re-qualify" resale points. Marriott will allow you to bring resale points back into the club for a fairly hefty per-point fee. Diamond allows you to "wash" dirty points, but you have to buy some other new points to do so.
I suspect that in the (very) long run, DVC will create a similar mechanism. Right now, the booking distinction between O14 resale and retail points is still largely theoretical, and so there probably isn't much reason to create such a mechanism. There is a grand total of one of the 15 DVC resorts that resale owners cannot book. Disney is better than most about projecting a sense of urgency around FOMO, but even still most people can shrug their shoulders about RIV. Over time, when the balance shifts and more of the system is not available to resale ownerships, that might be more opportunity to create a mechanism to requalify resale points. Rest assured that any such mechanism will not be cheap.
I think that plot will be used for something eventually, and that something will probably have at least a DVC component if not fully DVC. But, they re-seeded the site and removed the construction trailers, so it's probably going to be a good long while.
https://dvcnews.com/resorts/reflect...d-to-remove-reflections-construction-trailers
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