What's a little worrisome about the SV availability is that it's already such an issue. We knew it would be a slight issue given the disparity between the number of SV vs. PV. I've believed it would become a real issue with the resale restrictions once the number of resale owners grows since those owners will only be booking at RIV. I have to imagine that resale is still an insignificant number, so these issues are purely because of the availability of those rooms. Obviously the overall problem with excess points and limited availability across property comes into play here, but it's certainly still worrisome long term once there are more resale owners with restricted points.
Without getting too deep into the furor and angst over the resale restrictions, I've always thought this was the future issue with the restrictions that tends to get somewhat overlooked. I don't think a primary concern for Disney is the future resale value of someone's points, and that was honestly not much of a factor in our decision. It's certainly nice to know that our contract won't be worthless, like other timeshares, should out interests change in the future. I look at the restrictions largely as how they affect us as owners of those points (not as sellers of them), and this is the one area that worries me, since this is the only aspect that affects direct owners - the problems that we may have booking at our resort as a result of people with limited contracts (resale) who have no choice but to book at RIV. If this makes booking harder for us, then that's a likely unintended consequence that sucks.
That being said, we still added a RIV contract a year-and-a-half ago (although we did get a Guaranteed Week SV studio, just to hedge against these issues in the future and to possibly bump the value up just a touch in case we ever did have to sell). While I'm worried about it, it's not enough that we don't want to own at RIV, and I'm hopeful eventually there will be some sort of equilibrium as there are more resorts with such restrictions at which there will be more people who can't switch resorts for booking, so that will make it easier for those who still can. It could also end up being that the number of resale owners will never be high enough to make any significant difference, and it will always be about the proportion of more reasonably priced SV vs. the high point-requirement PV rooms.
I don't think this is quite right. 7-11 months is just RIV owners and SV studios go fast. It doesn't really matter if you are direct or resale in this time frame.