marsh0013
i want to drive the zamboni
- Joined
- Apr 21, 2003
- Messages
- 4,030
I am new here! Trying to do my research as much as I can for our RCI trade into DVC. We've had a ongoing search since June 2015 for our Fall trip 2016, using weeks. What is the likelihood of a 2 BD popping up? On the search I have check in dates for 9/16/16-9/18/16 then starts again using dates from 10/7/16-11/13/16. I check online at least 2-3x a day and just get SS and it's typically a 1 BD. I did see this morning SS had two separate 1 beds for the same week just one day off check in dates, would we stand a better chance to do this? I just hate the thoughts of using so many of my Grandmothers trading powers! Any help or suggestions are greatly welcomed! Thanks!![]()
2-bedrooms also haven't been deposited in quite some time, at least there have been no reports on TUG. I don't think you will have any issue matching a 1-bedroom at SSR sometime in that timeframe. I'd guess the Sept dates will match first, so if you really would prefer Oct/Nov, I'd drop the Sept dates from the search. Last year, we waited quite some time but eventually got our check in October 25. We were locked in to Oct 25 being the earliest date we could go (and really preferred the following weekend), so we were very limited. I had all but given up, and was planning to use the backup we had booked at POFQ.
Jersey week/Wine Dine weekend (Nov 4-6) most likely won't match, but you've got a real good chance of the last weekend matching (Nov 11-13), especially since that's when Food and Wine ends. Last year, we matched that weekend outside of seven months (Nov 14, 2015 check in matched on March 23, 2015 - OGS was started June 28, 2014) but didn't confirm the match since we wanted to go for F&W. Left the search running and finally confirmed Oct 25 check in on July 30, 2015. I believe some people got checks ins the following weekend either in Aug or Sept, but their searches were aged more than mine, so who knows if we would have gotten that weekend if we waited. But I was done waiting at that point! It can be very stressful!
We didn't even have that Oct 25 date included in our search to start, but when I saw someone had matched it in late July, I added it, and it matched the next day. Definitely join TUG (the paid account) so you can get access to the sightings board. It is extremely helpful to get an idea of what to expect.
One more thing - how many TPU do you have on your search? Make sure you have enough. SSR seems to be in the 27-33 range for 1-bedrooms in "low" season. The summer 1-bedrooms at SSR seem to be around 45 TPU. And the BWV we matched for this May is 38, while the SSR we had matched that exact same weekend was only 27.
Edit to add: yes, I believe you have a better chance of 2 x 1-bed than 1 x 2-bed. I know it's more TPU and 2 exchange fees, but it's better than getting nothing. And I think your best bet to get 2 on the same weekend is that first Sept week or that last Nov week. But you never know! Good luck!