alhurricane
DisDads #733
- Joined
- Feb 13, 2013
- Messages
- 268
As a meteorologist, this has been an interesting thread to read. 
In this day and age, a forecast that has an 80-90% rain chance 3-4 days out should not change all that much as the day in question draws closer. That's because with all the tools available, that 80-90% is showing that there is VERY high confidence of rain on that particular day. Be cautioned however, that does not mean it will rain all day or night. The other caution is that some weather sites/apps show forecasts based solely off computer models, which are MUCH more inconsistent and don't adhere to the confidence level I initially spoke about.
I encourage you to check out the local National Weather Service forecast since our tax payer dollars go to fund the forecasts and services provided by the NWS. For the Orlando area check out: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb
Enjoy your trip! Be prepared for the rain, but don't let it get you down. If it does rain, just dance around in it. After all, you are in Disney!

In this day and age, a forecast that has an 80-90% rain chance 3-4 days out should not change all that much as the day in question draws closer. That's because with all the tools available, that 80-90% is showing that there is VERY high confidence of rain on that particular day. Be cautioned however, that does not mean it will rain all day or night. The other caution is that some weather sites/apps show forecasts based solely off computer models, which are MUCH more inconsistent and don't adhere to the confidence level I initially spoke about.
I encourage you to check out the local National Weather Service forecast since our tax payer dollars go to fund the forecasts and services provided by the NWS. For the Orlando area check out: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb
Enjoy your trip! Be prepared for the rain, but don't let it get you down. If it does rain, just dance around in it. After all, you are in Disney!
