ITA - I'm not gambling on my dates and/or discounts. Plus, do you seriously believe that there are really all that many that booked "just in case" and will cancel? I think there are many more that booked and will go anyway than there are that will cancel if not announced.
Obviously, I don't know how many "speculative" bookings there are. I do know that there a bunch of people on here (and probably more in the real world) that have said they will cancel.
But more likely, I think, are the people who are booked for the beginning of August and end of September (based on previous years and the other two promotions) who will change their dates by a couple of days (or weeks) to take advantage of the
free dining. It may not affect September all that much, since the difference between the rumored dates and existing dates is only a week, but it may throw off the projections for August by quite a bit. In which case, I would expect another good offer for August to come out sometime later this year. Maybe not free dining, but perhaps something along the lines of the 40% PIN code? I'll be curious to see how it all plays out.
Besides, I didn't book my "free dining" trip last year until mid to late June, and there was still plenty of availability in values (except ASMovies), mods and deluxes. I don't think the speculative bookings alone will make or break the possibility of a free dining promotion.
I don't think so, either, but they may have affected the dates it will be offered. Of course, the bounceback/UK promotions alone may have done that, but who knows?
And we were right there with you last year. Booked in June, got our first choice of resorts and were able to add on days no problem. We were also able to get virtually every ADR we wanted only two months out with no problem. I hope that's the case this year, too, but I doubt it.
Good luck to all!