MarkRG
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Mar 19, 2002
- Messages
- 6,166
How many times can it be said this is the most unpredictable storm in a long time?
Yes, it has turned straight west for the moment. BUT it has not picked up the movement speed yet as was predicted, and it is currently losing some wind speed and strength.
I am going to post another map here as I need to refer to it.
A new H has formed over the Virginias. This is very unusual. What this does is push the hurricane at a right angle to its winds. The upper green arrow I've drawn is winds generated by the H. The lower arrow is the winds made by Jeanne, see how they are at right angles to each other. The collision of these two wind patterns is turning Jeanne west. But Jeanne is now over cooler water which will sap strength from it. And the collision is not with that much force to make Jeanne move any faster west.
But this H is going to move east. That will also turn Jeanne around it (as the Miami hurricane center says above- this is the first time I've agreed with one of those) as well. As the H moves east Jeanne will turn to the north.
It's all going to be a race of which moves faster at this point- the H or Jeanne. Unless Jeanne shows some indication of an increase in movement speed, it should not get near anything on the Florida coast until at least very late Saturday or more likely Sunday. It is looking more like the Bahamas will at least get a pass by hit if the hurricane keeps on in the same direction.
To summarize:
It is still too soon to say if it will affect the Magic or not as far as its Saturday duties. I see Port Canaveral has already ordered all ships out by 10a Sat, so the point may be moot, unless the Port changes that order. http://www.portcanaveral.org/evacuationorder.doc
It will possibly get near the coast, but it is uncertain right now as to how near it will get or if it will actually make landfall. But it is again looking more like it will not make landfall in Florida.
Uncertain how soon it will get as far west as it can before turning north. But its movement speed is still very low at this point. There is nothing with much force making it move at this time.
Uncertain how strong it will be when it gets there. It has to pass over a lot of ocean yet, which is what really determines its strength. if it goes straight west the gulf stream could feed it. If it goes a little more north, it'll be in cooler ocean which could weaken it further.
One thing I will stress- Pay attention to local authorities! If they require you to evacuate, do so, no matter what I am saying on this. This hurricane is very unpredictable and it is better to be safe than to gamble on what myself or others are saying on it.
Yes, it has turned straight west for the moment. BUT it has not picked up the movement speed yet as was predicted, and it is currently losing some wind speed and strength.
I am going to post another map here as I need to refer to it.
A new H has formed over the Virginias. This is very unusual. What this does is push the hurricane at a right angle to its winds. The upper green arrow I've drawn is winds generated by the H. The lower arrow is the winds made by Jeanne, see how they are at right angles to each other. The collision of these two wind patterns is turning Jeanne west. But Jeanne is now over cooler water which will sap strength from it. And the collision is not with that much force to make Jeanne move any faster west.
But this H is going to move east. That will also turn Jeanne around it (as the Miami hurricane center says above- this is the first time I've agreed with one of those) as well. As the H moves east Jeanne will turn to the north.
It's all going to be a race of which moves faster at this point- the H or Jeanne. Unless Jeanne shows some indication of an increase in movement speed, it should not get near anything on the Florida coast until at least very late Saturday or more likely Sunday. It is looking more like the Bahamas will at least get a pass by hit if the hurricane keeps on in the same direction.
To summarize:
It is still too soon to say if it will affect the Magic or not as far as its Saturday duties. I see Port Canaveral has already ordered all ships out by 10a Sat, so the point may be moot, unless the Port changes that order. http://www.portcanaveral.org/evacuationorder.doc
It will possibly get near the coast, but it is uncertain right now as to how near it will get or if it will actually make landfall. But it is again looking more like it will not make landfall in Florida.
Uncertain how soon it will get as far west as it can before turning north. But its movement speed is still very low at this point. There is nothing with much force making it move at this time.
Uncertain how strong it will be when it gets there. It has to pass over a lot of ocean yet, which is what really determines its strength. if it goes straight west the gulf stream could feed it. If it goes a little more north, it'll be in cooler ocean which could weaken it further.
One thing I will stress- Pay attention to local authorities! If they require you to evacuate, do so, no matter what I am saying on this. This hurricane is very unpredictable and it is better to be safe than to gamble on what myself or others are saying on it.
) so we were all good to go there. Boards are up--I just brought in the outside items. And I ran 7 miles this morning--that tends to burn lots of stress.
God willing we don't have any damage--just a messy yard to pick up. That'll show him to travel on Business before a hurricane comes 
