I know this year is not last year - but anyone remember what crowds were like on August (not first night) dates last year? Price would only be $99 with discount that day so would consider it at that cost. But way back nearly all rides were walk ons and it was a relatively pleasant evening other than a couple of really popular meet and greets. I thought more recent years I'd heard even the early dates were ridiculously packed and ride lines got significant as well.
I just looked back at my 2019 notes for rides specifically
7:41- 15 min wait Winnie the Pooh
8:11- 2 min wait Small World
9:07- 8 min wait Tea Cups
9:31- Considered speedway line but it was backed up over the bridge and a few twists deep at the entrance. Didn't want to waste party time
Our friends who were with us did Space and Pirates. Both had solid waits, but they were running party overlays so it was expected.
We prioritized what the kids wanted to do, which was characters, ToT, dance parties, fireworks, parade. I will say it felt busy all night. I camped out early for fireworks while Hubby took the kids to ToT and Tomorrowland dance party. Then, we camped for late parade seats in Frontierland. This time, he sat while the kids and I ToTed. By the time the 2nd parade was through that area, most of the magic shots by Haunted Mansion and the characters in Adventureland had closed lines. My girls only got to meet Genie and Jasmine because another guest saw us coming and gave us her line spot since her toddler was out cold at that point.
We had a ton of fun and we're going again this year. But, it wasn't a limited crowd event by any stretch of the imagination. The only part that felt low crowds were the ToT lines after about 9pm. That's when my girls were able to just walk up and get candy. In fact, they thought it was *hilarious* that you could go back through the same line if you wanted to, so we started doing that in the later hours.
ETA: This was Tuesday, August 27, 2019.