LizzyDragon
Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Jun 18, 2017
- Messages
- 281
I think in one of Chapek's interviews, he mentioned that they were following CDC guidance on masks. So I suspect the masks will go when the CDC says they're no longer needed for the general population. The CDC will be looking at things like a long-term drop in new cases, serological testing results, amount of vaccine distributed, etc.
Last I checked, 11 vaccines are in Phase 3 trials. There's a small chance one of them could get US emergency approval by the end of the year. But more likely, we'll have one or more vaccines available by next spring. It'll probably take another 6-12 months to manufacture and distribute the vaccine on a large enough scale to have a meaningful effect on herd immunity.
So I'm guessing early 2022ish is when the mask requirement will be dropped. I also expect visitors will start returning gradually over 2021 as people get vaccinated and feel more comfortable with traveling, and states/countries start relaxing travel restrictions.
Of course, I'm using my magic 8-ball to figure this all out. Actual results may vary.
Last I checked, 11 vaccines are in Phase 3 trials. There's a small chance one of them could get US emergency approval by the end of the year. But more likely, we'll have one or more vaccines available by next spring. It'll probably take another 6-12 months to manufacture and distribute the vaccine on a large enough scale to have a meaningful effect on herd immunity.
So I'm guessing early 2022ish is when the mask requirement will be dropped. I also expect visitors will start returning gradually over 2021 as people get vaccinated and feel more comfortable with traveling, and states/countries start relaxing travel restrictions.
Of course, I'm using my magic 8-ball to figure this all out. Actual results may vary.
