Here's some monorail history information:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walt_Disney_World_Monorail_System
I like how it specifies that routine maintenance is done nightly on the trains.
Okay, I just can't stand it anymore. I don't care if people decide to label me as a gullible "apologist" or whatever, I have to point this out:
Maintaining the trains does absolutely no good if it's the TRACK that's having problems. Is the track supposed to be somehow magically impervious to wear and tear from trains running over it every day? A bridge over a river will dump cars in the water eventually if you don't maintain it, it doesn't matter if the cars are in perfect condition!
The facts of the matter are as follows, to the best of my understanding:
1) Parts have fallen off the tracks - and very recently. In addition, there have been increasing numbers of maintenance-related problems reported.
2) The tracks cannot be repaired when trains are running on them.
3) There are no alternate tracks to put the trains onto while you repair the first set - this isn't like a highway where you can steer traffic into other lanes while you repave the first one.
There is nowhere else the trains can go.
4) As for "are more hours for repairs at night really helpful" - the answer is absolutely a resounding YES.
Honestly, it makes far more logical sense to me that Disney would cut back on monorail service during peak season with very little warning because the track needs those extra hours of work
now, that it cannot wait until off-season before the tracks actually do get to the point of becoming unsafe. If it was just a cutback, this is not the time they'd choose to do it. And shutting down the system entirely is really not a good choice if they can eke out a little more time with repairs until they can get to a time of year with less demand, and therefore more leeway to do extensive work.
Is it upsetting? Absolutely. My trip will be negatively affected too. I also think Disney has been amazingly stupid to let things get to this point in the first place - the monorail is now crucially important to park transportation and they have no good backup when with better long-range planning they could have replaced it, rebuilt parts of it without compromising peak-season traffic, come up with some alternate system that was better than buses, or
something. Instead they clearly put off dealing with the problem for much longer than they should, and now it's finally coming back to bite them. I even think they were stupid in how they handled the announcement, and that they should have just said it was for maintenance right from the start. But I don't believe for one minute that it's a just a lie so they can deprive the guests of monorail service. Why the heck is it ridiculous to believe that parts falling off the tracks is a
bad sign?
Maybe it's just that I've lived almost my entire life in cities where multiple bridges are required and I'm used to seeing the construction patterns on them, but I can't understand why "but they maintain the trains, so it can't be maintenance" is such a popular line of reasoning. Honestly, it just doesn't work that way. As for why it's "permanent" - yes, this is speculation, but I think what that really means is "we don't know." Will the longer night hours of maintenance be enough to keep the rails safe? Can they make enough repairs fast enough to step up service again for the parties? Will they actually need to eventually shut the system down entirely to rebuild parts of it? I really don't think they know, and I don't think they will know until they've had a period to try out the shorter hours (several weeks, at least). An engineering project of this scale takes time to plan out. Do you think they decide to expand Fantasyland and then just up and start building a week later? These things take months (sometimes years) of planning time, and right now they just don't have that time.
Okay, I'm done. I really am sympathetic to how frustrating it is not to have access to the monorail, and I'm going to keep watching in hopes that they'll decide to go for it during parties at least. But I'm certainly not going to let it ruin my trip completely if they don't.