Any thoughts on when this would be likely? Also have PAP's and was thinking to arrive by noon. Okay then or risky?
1) NO ONE knows
when total capacity is met.
2) But, it usually does happen on Christmas Day, New Year's Eve, and July 4th.
3) I, personally, would not wait until Noon, and would arrive by 10:00-11:00.
4) Don't forget, at Phase-4, no one is admitted.
5) Plus, if you have ADR's and are shut-out, you are charged the no-show penalty.
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WDW PARK CLOSING PHASES: (from Disney)
Phase 1:
At this phase, Day Guests with Magic Your Way Base Tickets or a 1-Day 1-Park Ticket, Guests without Theme Park admission and Cast Members using Main Gate & Silver Passes will be turned around at the Auto Plaza. Guests meeting these criteria are told the Theme Park has reached capacity.
Phase 2:
At this phase, Theme Park admission is limited to Disney Resort Guests*, Annual and Premium Annual Passholders, Guests with Park Hopper tickets crossing over from another Park, Guests re-entering this Park today, Guests with Dining reservations, and, if applicable, Magic Kingdom Guests with reservations for Bibbidi Bobbidi Boutique, The Pirates League or Harmony Barber Shop or Disney's Animal Kingdom Guests with reservations for Wild Africa Trek. Guests using Walt Disney World Resort Transportation will be admitted. Guests not meeting the above criteria are told the Theme Park has reached capacity.
Phase 3:
At this phase, Theme Park admission is limited to Disney Resort Guests*, Annual and Premium Annual Passholders, Guests with Dining reservations, and, if applicable, Magic Kingdom Guests with reservations for Bibbidi Bobbidi Boutique, The Pirates League or Harmony Barber Shop or Disney's Animal Kingdom Guests with reservations for Wild Africa Trek. Guests not meeting the above criteria are told the Theme Park has reached capacity.
Phase 4:
Closed to
all Guests and Guests are told the Park has reached capacity.
(Regardless of ADR, Paid ADR, previous admission that day, resort guest, annual passholder.)
*Guests of WDW Swan and Dolphin Hotels and Shades of Green at the Walt Disney World Resort are considered part of this group in this instance. In addition, Guests from Hotel Plaza Boulevard hotels arriving by bus are included (Best Western Lake Buena Vista, Buena Vista Palace, Doubletree Guest Suites, Hotel Royal Plaza, Wyndham LBV, The Hilton Lake Buena Vista). Also included are Golden Oak residents as well as registered Guests of Golden Oak residents.