It's
most likely that you will be able to dock. Since I've been keeping track, the ships have docked over 96% of the time. Since the beginning of 2002, I've been able to account for 75% of the cruises. Of these, 97% have docked successfully.
Of the cruises I can track, the most common months for missing
Castaway Cay are February and December. But even in these two months, the ships have docked over 90% of the time. Also, I never show the Magic missing in either of these months. The Magic has missed most often in January (but still made it 88% of the time). Interestingly, I never show the Wonder missing in January.
Here's an updated monthly table:
<table border><tr> <th width=20% align=center><br></th> <th width=18% align=center>Magic</th> <th width=18% align=center>Wonder</th> <th width=18% align=center>Total</th> <th width=26% align=center># of Misses</th></tr><tr> <th align=left>Jan</th> <td align=right>88%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>95%</td> <td align=center>2</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Feb</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>86%</td> <td align=right>91%</td> <td align=center>3</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Mar</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=center>0</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Apr</th> <td align=right>93%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>97%</td> <td align=center>1</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>May</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=center>0</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Jun</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=center>0</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Jul</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=center>0</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Aug</th> <td align=right>94%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>97%</td> <td align=center>1</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Sep</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>94%</td> <td align=right>97%</td> <td align=center>1</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Oct</th> <td align=right>92%</td> <td align=right>95%</td> <td align=right>94%</td> <td align=center>2</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Nov</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=center>0</td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Dec</th> <td align=right>100%</td> <td align=right>84%</td> <td align=right>90%</td> <td align=center>3</td></tr><tr><th align=left><br></th><td align=right><br></td><td align=right><br></td> <td align=right><br></td> <td align=center><br></td></tr><tr> <th align=left>Totals</th> <td align=right>97%</td> <td align=right>96%</td>
<td align=right>96.75%</td> <td align=center>13</td></tr></table>