Marathon Weekend 2026

A word on rain in forecasts for this time of year from a Floridian, because I always see much confusion on the topic…

The “it only rains for an hour or so in the afternoons!” adage refers to summer storms that are created by rising heat and coastal breezes meeting and hot Gulf waters and cooler Atlantic waters and other meteorological phenomena pertaining to summer.

Rain in winter is something else entirely. This is our dry season: rain almost always only comes when connected to a front. It can be a weak front that barely drops temps at all, or a strong front that crashes us into freezing weather, or anything in between. And fronts can come with a little rain, a ton of rain, or no rain at all. Seeing the potential for a front to dip into FL is relatively easy - but just how much it might impact weather (i.e. temps and rain) is the really tricky part and is why forecasts more than a few days out are SO unreliable.

Even when a forecast looks solid and every outlet is repeating the same thing, it can be wrong. See MW 2017, when we spent the week or so before thinking we’d have a very hot marathon because EVERY forecasting outlet was indicating that… and instead, a very strong front blew in with extreme wind and rain that canceled the half and left us with frigid weather for the full.

I’m not saying don’t look at forecasts at all: I know they're good for passing some taper time! But do keep in mind that rain in a forecast this time of year is a total carpshoot: there might be a little, a lot, or none at all and you really won’t have a handle on it until day-of.

What I’m saying is this: ALWAYS BRING THE RAIN GEAR! I don’t care what the forecast shows, it’s ways worth having it handy, just in case.
I always appreciate your Florida weather clarifications!
 

Not cold enough!
I agree that it could be a little cooler for the HM, and possibly the M, but considering that the high temperature is usually mid-afternoon, I'm OK with the the forecasted highs.

Accuweather is showing slightly cooler temps leading up to the weekend, and then warmer than wunderground for Saturday/Sunday.
 
I DO like the zero chance of rain in this one!
Bruno GIFs | Tenor
 
Booked our LL passes for the 6th (Epcot) and 7th (MK) today. Our son is coming with us for the first couple of days of the trip and then has to leave on Friday morning to head back to college. So waiting on him to get out of bed and decide where we are going on the 8th after the 5k. LOL.

Hard part about booking on the 7th is the expo. You never know how long you are going to be there. We are also moving resorts that day and have a reservation at 4:30 at Beak and Barrel. So plan is to try to get into the VQ right away that morning, pack up our bags, and head over to the expo to check in. Then hopefully around noonish we can at least get into the merch building, then head to our new resort and drop our bags if the room is not ready, and then head to MK.
 
Brief soapbox moment considering the current (but probably inaccurate) forecast for marathon day:

KEEP YOUR SPONGE. If it gets as warm as they are guessing, there is a good chance that they will be handing out wet sponges as we exit AK and turn onto Western Way. My first year of running at Disney (2022) it was like a scene from a zombie movie with people walking down the highway, yellow sponges littering the road. You can RE-WET your sponge at water stops. Stick it in your hat, in your sports bra (monitor your skin as this could cause new or unexpected chafing), in your vest, your shorts. They also had ice bags between Blizzard Beach and HS. YYMV with these, but on the off-chance that it does get hot these are some things to keep an eye out for.
 
Brief soapbox moment considering the current (but probably inaccurate) forecast for marathon day:

KEEP YOUR SPONGE. If it gets as warm as they are guessing, there is a good chance that they will be handing out wet sponges as we exit AK and turn onto Western Way. My first year of running at Disney (2022) it was like a scene from a zombie movie with people walking down the highway, yellow sponges littering the road. You can RE-WET your sponge at water stops. Stick it in your hat, in your sports bra (monitor your skin as this could cause new or unexpected chafing), in your vest, your shorts. They also had ice bags between Blizzard Beach and HS. YYMV with these, but on the off-chance that it does get hot these are some things to keep an eye out for.
And if you really don't want a sponge or ice bag any more, see if someone else wants it before you toss it on the ground. I remember at W&D 2024 there was an ice bag that cycled through 4 or 5 people after we came down the hill after the final cloverleaf.
 


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