asaj said:I think what I need are the hard numbers based on the $86/pt price, including all costs...
The problem is that there is no de facto formula to use.
Probably the easiest is to take the $86 per point and divide it by the number of years remaining (47), and add that number to the annual dues. That's your per-point cost for a single year.
Example:
$86 / 47 = 1.83 + 3.94 = $5.77 per point
Then it becomes a question of when and where points are used. A studio room at SSR on a weekday in September costs 11 points. At $5.77 per point, the DVC cost using these forumlas would be $63.47 per night. The Rack Rate for that same night, including tax, is $302. The DVC member cost is about 21% of what a cash guest may pay.
DVC Studio rooms are basically the same as a standard guest room at any of the Deluxes, give or take a few square feet.
For that same period, a One Bedroom is 20 points (or $115 to a DVC member) vs. the cash rate of $450.
That's a simplistic way to run the numbers.
Another approach would be to calculate a breakeven point--determining how long it will take until your initial cash outlay plus annual dues will equal the amount you would have spent if paying cash for the same accommodations.
In other post you mentioned booking packages. In most cases, don't fool yourself into thinking that you'll actually save money with Disney's packages. In fact, the only way for cash guests to buy the Dining Plan is to buy a package, and you are normally required to pay the Rack Rate for the room (and buy tickets from Disney, too.) DVC members get the dining plan at its face value without having to buy anything extra.
Where you CAN potentially save money as a cash guest is by traveling when special incentives are offered like the recent "free dining" offer. The only problem there is that you're letting Disney determine your travel dates, and you're also betting that the forthcoming incentive will actually appeal to you. These types of incentives are designed to attract new business. As such it's in Disney's best interest to keep their dates and makeup changing.
The "free dining" has run for the past two years. I may very well be wrong on this, but I'll be quite surprised if it's offered again in 2007 on roughly the same dates and with the same terms.
i have been told that it is not that difficult to resale.

