Since you like to stay at a variety of resorts and since it can be hard to secure BWV standard view in popular early December, it's probably a good idea to look at 212 points.
212 x $75 (estimated resale & closing or MB deal) = $15,900
Would you pay cash or get a loan with debt interest to pay?
212 x $4/pt (estimated, typical annual maint) = $848 per year
Is this acceptable to you? What are you typically paying for your vacation accommodations? Do you usually get an AP rate or other discount? Have you be getting Shades of Green overflow rates?
Many people use a set figure for what they value their cost to be, per point. Some say $8 per point is reasonable. At $8/point, 212 points costs you ~$1,696 for your 2 week in your room. That's about $121 per night in total costs. Not bad.
Are you okay with the trade-off in price, given that you would be front-loading your costs? (That's the nature of timesharing.) The resorts are lovely but DVC stays only include once weekly housekeeping plus a midweek towel exchange. Do remember that, in the
unlikely event that DVC opts to restructure their
points charts (some time periods go up & some go down to compensate), the lowest season may be most likely to increase points requirements. IOW, consider buying just a few more points than you expect to need and bank the surplus each year.
How do you feel about planning for the vast majority of your stays being at DVC resorts, rather than staying at the wider variety of Disney hotels? If you use the points for those, it's a much, much more expensive arrangement. Also, if you become spoiled by the nicer 1BRs, you'll get more, but it'll cost more too.
These are a few of the considerations, so you enter with your eyes open. Your vacation style certainly seems to fit that of a potentially happy DVC owner! HTH.
