I've also found that what looks blown out on the back of my lcd most of the time still has some detail there.
Yes and yes. That recovery slider in Lightroom... if you slide it all the way over... it's amazing what can come back, actually.
With the histograms, you also have to keep in mind, though, the predominant colors/tonalities of what's in your photograph. A photo of a black subject will have a histogram for correct exposure that looks different from a histogram for a correctly-exposed white subject. Correct?