Hurricane Watchers--Post Here!

[LPnerd]

Hmmm...not flying, but drving from NJ to FL Sat 25, planning to arrive around
9am on Sunday 26. Will the storm be a problem for drivers?

this is cutting it to close to call. right now, Id say you're ok, but keep an eye, things could change fast sunday.

 

[LPnerd]

 

[StacyMarie]

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurricanecentral/tracker

Something tells me it's going to go right over Disney for our trip. As slow as its moving, I think 3 days of our trip are going to be a bust. The European trackers still has it going south of Florida and into the gulf. Fingers crossed it takes that route.

Here's the European tracker, which some say is just as accurate.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forec...a!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2005101800!!!step/

 

[LPnerd]

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurricanecentral/tracker

Something tells me it's going to go right over Disney for our trip. As slow as its moving, I think 3 days of our trip are going to be a bust. The European trackers still has it going south of Florida and into the gulf. Fingers crossed it takes that route.

Here's the European tracker, which some say is just as accurate.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forec...a!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2005101800!!!step/

which some, and why do you pick the ukmet... do you undertand wha the computer models are and the ensombles and presure maps they use ??? Be very careful about predicting things. we are five to 7 days out. the computers all say Fl is going to get wind and rain. what we can't know yet is how strong the storm will be, or how much water it will drop, nor precise track... fl is only 100 miles wide, and a wobble 5 miles here and 30 miles there means so much... so they can't even tell us which side of the state it's coming up at this point.

 

[NJOGRE]

Yes flipping out right now. Flying to Orlando on Friday the 24th, not a problem, supposed to leave on DCL for 4 nighter on Wednesday the 29th BIG PROBLEM it looks like the storm will be over Orlando then

 

[StacyMarie]

which some, and why do you pick the ukmet... do you undertand wha the computer models are and the ensombles and presure maps they use ??? Be very careful about predicting things. we are five to 7 days out. the computers all say Fl is going to get wind and rain. what we can't know yet is how strong the storm will be, or how much water it will drop, nor precise track... fl is only 100 miles wide, and a wobble 5 miles here and 30 miles there means so much... so they can't even tell us which side of the state it's coming up at this point.

I am following both. I picked the UK one because I was told by several that it is one of the top to follow. All models, no matter which ones you watch have the opportunity to fail. Of course I don't understand the pressure maps, etc. I'm just following the track of both maps, which are entirely different. No matter what, my trip is going to be impacted if it hits FL, whether it's strong or just a little wind and rain. I'm not predicting strength or even predicting where it's going to hit, jeez! I just want my family's vacation to be the best that it can be, so of course I'm watching, just like most on this thread and the other threads that have upcoming trips. Nobody is predicting anything, we are just WATCHING, which is why the thread is called HURRICANE WATCHERS - POST HERE!

 

[juliehoey]

I am following both. I picked the UK one because I was told by several that it is one of the top to follow. All models, no matter which ones you watch have the opportunity to fail. Of course I don't understand the pressure maps, etc. I'm just following the track of both maps, which are entirely different. No matter what, my trip is going to be impacted if it hits FL, whether it's strong or just a little wind and rain. I'm not predicting strength or even predicting where it's going to hit, jeez! I just want my family's vacation to be the best that it can be, so of course I'm watching, just like most on this thread and the other threads that have upcoming trips. Nobody is predicting anything, we are just WATCHING, which is why the thread is called HURRICANE WATCHERS - POST HERE!

I've just watched the Weather Channel live update and he ended it with 'Our more reliable model has it sending it to the Gulf' meaning the European model that he stated yesterday was the more reliable one to follow. At this point I think it's a lot of hype and speculation like for snow storms that never come... I agree we are all watching and hoping for the best

 

[StacyMarie]

I've just watched the Weather Channel live update and he ended it with 'Our more reliable model has it sending it to the Gulf' meaning the European model that he stated yesterday was the more reliable one to follow. At this point I think it's a lot of hype and speculation like for snow storms that never come... I agree we are all watching and hoping for the best

I've been following the European model as well (in hopes that is the track it takes, lol). I'm glad to see I'm not the only one. Funny to see that even The Weather Channel is watching a European tracker too, go figure None of them are accurate. I'm just hoping that's the path that it follows as we leave on Saturday.

 

[DisneyMom4964]

I've been keeping an eye on the storms too. We fly out on Sunday. TD9 is there, but I'm not overly stressed about it, at this point. I think we'll be good to fly in on Sunday, and that's my main concern. Predictions right now are calling for a lot of rain in the Orlando area on Monday, but not beyond that. For whatever a forecast 6 days out is worth.. which is not a whole heck of a lot.

Flying out Sunday too. Not too much concerned about our flight but more so the vacation itself in Disney. I dont want all the days there to be rainy but if there is just a rainy Monday, we can deal with that

 

[RNicole1]

The European model was WAY off on predicting Debbie earlier this season. I am not relying too much on it just yet.

 

[StacyMarie]

Flying out Sunday too. Not too much concerned about our flight but more so the vacation itself in Disney. I dont want all the days there to be rainy but if there is just a rainy Monday, we can deal with that

We can handle one rainy day too as we have one day in our schedule where we aren't going into the parks. I will just have to re-arrange our schedule. Would I be too much of a compulsive planner if I had 3 or 4 tentative schedules, depending on which day we have crappy weather if it does hit us, lol! My family already think I'm an over-planner

 

[mylildarlings]

We fly out Friday, but will be spending 2 nights at Cocoa Beach before heading back to Orlando. Sunday night were staying just outside Disney gates before moving to YC on Monday. My biggest concern is that if it tracks east, cocoa beach could be under evac. We'd be in Orlando before it would make landfall, but a evac could move us back to Orlando early. So, I just booked Sat night in Orlando at our Sunday night hotel. Its cancelable up until checking time, so it won't cost us anything if we don't need it, but I figure it's just a little extra insurance.

 

[CanadianPaco]

We can handle one rainy day too as we have one day in our schedule where we aren't going into the parks. I will just have to re-arrange our schedule. Would I be too much of a compulsive planner if I had 3 or 4 tentative schedules, depending on which day we have crappy weather if it does hit us, lol! My family already think I'm an over-planner

My family thinks I'm an over planner too! I have decided to change our schedule a bit. Monday was going to be our water park day and an evening of shopping. It becomes a sleep in day and a day of shopping.

 

[wishiwereindisney]

bumping! good weather pixie dust for everyone!

 

[Mom2HandR]

I am here now, off site till Saturday then at Pop till next Thursday. No use speculating yet but we will be hitting the parks hard on the weekend in case we lose a day later.

And I am keeping the kids away from the news. No sense freaking them out.

 

[Cherinva]

It's that time of year....we are leaving on the 7th....I'm watching TD#10...

 

[Blessed_wth_Triplets]

Oh man....we leave Sunday...praying it turns away!

 

[StacyMarie]

It's that time of year....we are leaving on the 7th....I'm watching TD#10...

I wonder how soon that one will be behind Isaac. Hoping it doesn't put a damper on our travel plans to come home, lol.

 

[BadgerGirl84]

I wonder how soon that one will be behind Isaac. Hoping it doesn't put a damper on our travel plans to come home, lol.

I wonder that too. I feel for all those potentially facing Isaac next week, but that one behind it would be the one to affect my trip.

From what I have been reading, it sounds like whatever pressure system that is keeping those storms from not swirling back out into the Atlantic, should be lifted by next week. Perhaps our resident meteorologist can tell us for sure. I sure don't want to look DUMB.

 

[Cadyrose]

We are supposed to fly into Orlando at 11:30 next Wednesday (the 29th) and will leave on the 3rd. I have to admit that I am definitely freaking out! I do not want to spend the entire trip locked in my room with our 1 year old and 3 year old. Unfortunately we can't just move our dates around due to work. *fingers crossed!*

Not sure if anyone responded but figured i would share...

We were there last year for Irene. She was suppose to hit Fl mid week then Mass the weekend we flew home. Concierge at WL was very helpful letting us know that they always have a back up pkan should they get word that they will be hit (boarding up sliders and windows). And in the case you have to bunker down, they have activites and she mentioned WL would bring in characters (not sure which other ones did too). She also said if our flight was to get canceled due to Irene hitting MA and Logan shutting down, that they would take care of us.

Knowing that Disney very much had a contingency pkan made it a lit easier to relax!

Oh and Irene gave us in Epcot a really decent down pour and gusty winds...we never did get to met Beast. We got stuck under the awning at the boat and finally made our way to the other side by the entrance. We decided to sneak into the aquarium to sit other the rest of the "storm" and got blessed with seeing scuba diving Mickey...turned out to be a highlight of the trip!

Oh and we flew over Irene by NC with a very smooth flight but got hit in MA the day after we came home. So we flew to FL during hurricane season just to fly home to power outages and having to make up school days!

Still would do it over again!