I work at UNC and one of our Marine Scientists has been keeping data on this storm. Here is a link to their path, circulation, and storm surge model
http://nc-cera.renci.org/. It is updated frequently. It looked at lot different yesterday before I left work.
My friends and I were planning to drive down from NC on Saturday, now we're leaving Friday, stopping half way, and then driving the rest of the way on Saturday. We're gonna bring some games, and order a pizza and just hunker down and ride it out til it's safe the next day. Then, we won't have to rush to get out to make it to Florida at a "decent" time. We aren't worried about being at Disney while it's raining/storming, we were more concerned for the trip down.
Everyone stay safe!