Hurricane Irma- Now a tropical depression

Weather Underground has very good maps. Here's the 11 AM NHC forecast track: https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma?map=5day&MR=1

That forecast track is based on the data from the 8AM computer models I mentioned above.

You can click around the various choices to see other info. The computer models shown right now are the 2 PM runs, which is what the 6 PM forecast will be based on -- along with a ton of other info.

The difference from 8 AM is that the 2 PM runs are tightly clustered along the East Coast of Florida. This morning, all of the runs showed a sharp right turn, but paths were scattered from the Gulf Coast to way out to the East of the Bahamas.
 
That's what happened to many of the Florida Keys during the Labor Day hurricane of 1935.

Unlikely in Puerto Rico and St.Maarten because those islands have some mountains.


I have a friend that used to live on St. Thomas, and that was his answer when I asked him what made him leave the "Paradise"...

Below, current picture of flooded streets in Saint Martin:

_97696988_041501441-1.jpg
 

Yes, we're leaving tomorrow at the latest, DH has some work requirements today. We have two large dogs and finding a hotel that takes large dogs is not easy. Spent the good part of yesterday searching and searching. I want to head to GA, around Atlanta, and have a hotel booked there. Also have one in Orlando, which is where my DH thinks we should go. Based upon projections, I think we should cancel Orlando and just get out of the state.

I hope everyone stays safe!
Yes if it were me, I'd choose Georgia. Please stay safe.
 
But not the coast! There is still a lot of uncertainty as to if / where Irma could make a second landfall, but Georgia's coast is definitely a possibility.
I mentioned Georgia because the poster said they had a hotel reservation in Orlando and Atlanta.
 
We live in Southeast Broward county (between Ft. Lauderdale & Miami) & will be evacuating to the panhandle of Florida. When viewing the projected paths earlier in the week, that was the only place we felt was a safe bet. We're also hoping that will help with our drive home. We have family in Western NC who were very disappointed that we didn't come there. We would have loved to, but it appeared the storm would chase us all the way up & give us troubles getting home. Situations like this really seem hopeless. The forecast changes so often that it's almost impossible to know what to do, until it's too late.

Safe travels to all who are leaving. I hope we all can find gas along the way. :scared: That's really my biggest concern at this point. I wish all of those staying the best & pray we'll all have a home, when the storm passes. God bless us all.
 
We live in Southeast Broward county (between Ft. Lauderdale & Miami) & will be evacuating to the panhandle of Florida. When viewing the projected paths earlier in the week, that was the only place we felt was a safe bet. We're also hoping that will help with our drive home. We have family in Western NC who were very disappointed that we didn't come there. We would have loved to, but it appeared the storm would chase us all the way up & give us troubles getting home. Situations like this really seem hopeless. The forecast changes so often that it's almost impossible to know what to do, until it's too late.

Safe travels to all who are leaving. I hope we all can find gas along the way. :scared: That's really my biggest concern at this point. I wish all of those staying the best & pray we'll all have a home, when the storm passes. God bless us all.
Keep a close eye on the path tomorrow. If it moves right (east) you may be okay stopping on the central Gulf coast. We have reservations in Naples and Sarasota
 
Try to picture this: A BIG wave crashes the beach and just rolls thru the whole Island until it rolls off back to the ocean on the opposite side...

Good luck to all in the path.

That's what happened to many of the Florida Keys during the Labor Day hurricane of 1935.

Unlikely in Puerto Rico and St.Maarten because those islands have some mountains.


Some of the middle Florida Keys were hit with a double whammy during the 1935 hurricane. The storm surge rolled completely over the islands, and then retreated backwards again.
 
So our local news"s FB has pictures of local stores out of water, oh I live on the SE portion of VA.

After Harvey and it coming up on 14 year anniversary of Isabel, people are getting twitchy at the thought of Irma continue to nudge e
North Easterly
 
Listen, I am in the Bahamas and I am freaking out. Our southern islands will definitely be hit and today they have actually been evacuating those residents to Nassau (where I live). I appreciate that Florida wants to be spared, but if it moves more northward, Nassau will definitely get a direct hit which can be devastating for the entire Bahamas since we are the capital and therefore the hub to get supplies, planes, medical assistance, etc to all of the other islands. Nassau also is the most populated island and where most Bahamians live. I don't want this thing to move any more north...

Hopes and prayers for all in the path.
 
We are down in south Florida. We will be riding it out praying that it shifts east some. This is going to be terrible if we take a direct hit. Everyone please pray this thing shifts east and fizzles out in the Atlantic.
 
Those planning on being here during the storm, please keep in mind that bottled water is extremely hard to find. As soon as one place gets it in, it is gone. A lot of the non-perishables are gone. Gas is very hard to find.

I stayed at Animal Kingdom Lodge during hurricane Frances. Once the storm arrived, they padlocked and sandbagged the lodge doors. No one was allowed to enter or leave. If you are staying at a resort where your room opens to the outside, you will not be able to leave your room once the storm starts. We could get 80 to 120 mph winds. Disney will try to get you some supplies, but even they will not go out during the height of the storm.
 
Those planning on being here during the storm, please keep in mind that bottled water is extremely hard to find. As soon as one place gets it in, it is gone. A lot of the non-perishables are gone. Gas is very hard to find.

I stayed at Animal Kingdom Lodge during hurricane Frances. Once the storm arrived, they padlocked and sandbagged the lodge doors. No one was allowed to enter or leave. If you are staying at a resort where your room opens to the outside, you will not be able to leave your room once the storm starts. We could get 80 to 120 mph winds. Disney will try to get you some supplies, but even they will not go out during the height of the storm.

The hotel padlocked the doors? What if there had been a fire? I can't believe that is legal.
 







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