Hurricane Gustav - Saturday evening update in Post #41

Just a quick update, and some advice for folks on the northern Gulf Coast.

Hurricane Gustav is hitting Cuba with Category 4 winds at this time. It will pass over one of the narrowest and lowest parts of Cuba, and may even strengthen as it moves across the island.

Almost as soon as it emerges from the northwest coast of Cuba, Gustav is going to strenthen to a Category 5 storm. It will continue to strengthen as it moves across the very warm waters of the central Gulf of Mexico, probably reaching sustained winds of 165+ MPH...maybe somewhat more.

In the far northern Gulf, Gustav will encounter the cooler (85 degrees) waters of the Loop Current. That should reduce the intensity somewhat, but the storm is still projected to be a Cat 4 (131-155 MPH) storm at landfall.

Landfall is now estimated at mid-afternoon on Monday. Currently, landfall is predicted in the central LA coast, but even a slight change in either direction or speed of the storm could move that point quiet a bit. Also, storms usually wobble quite a bit, and if Gustav wobbles 10-20 miles in your direction, your whole perspective on the storm will change radically.

This storm will not threaten WDW or VB, but people in the Northern Gulf Coast area should be watching Gustav closely and evacuating as soon as the order is given...or before.

Strong winds and storm surge will arrive many hours before the center of the storm makes landfall.

If you are in an affected area, you will notice a big difference in what the NHC is talking about, compared to what your local emergency management people are saying. Listen to your LOCAL official agencies, because they are talking about actual conditions (not predictions) that are going to happen to you.

Here's a link to the 3-day official forecast track: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807.html#a_topad
 
Oh, they'll have it. They may just have to postpone it a week or two.

I'm sure Minneapolis will accommodate them. It's a huge financial boost to a city to host a convention.

FoxNew says it's a go
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/08/30/as-gustav-moves-in-gop-convention-planners-on-alert/


“There are no plans for any postponement,” said Mike Miller, director of operations for the Republican convention. “We plan to start when we were going to start and end when we were going to end.”

Republican National Committee Deputy Chairman Frank Donatelli echoed Miller’s prediction.

“I don’t think (postponement) is a possibility,” he said on a conference call with reporters. “To postpone a convention is much more difficult than you might think. … I do believe there are other methods to deal with that potential situation so that we recognize and show the gravity of the situation and still do our business.”

He said they would take “appropriate programmatic action” if necessary.


IMHO, if you haven't cancelled by now it's a go. You just have to "tone it down"
 
The biggest bummer for me. They are forecasting tons of rain for Shreveport after Gustav comes ashore. We just got our new floors down, all the walls back in and painted and the wood trim completed TODAY from our flood in May. If we flood again.....:mad:

At least I know who to hire to get the work done.

It's just that my new wood floors are soooo pretty. The Italian tile is pretty, too, but we should be able to clean that if we flood.

Take care Deb and be safe. :hug:
 
IMHO, if you haven't cancelled by now it's a go. You just have to "tone it down"
I now think you're right. President Bush has cancelled his Monday night appearance, and Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin are touring some of the areas today.

The convention can probably do some appropriate mentions, prayers for the affected areas, etc.

The election is only a little over 60 days away, so obviously neither party is going to stop their campaign.
 

Here in Baton Rouge we are expecting to get some rough weather. It looks like we will be on the worst side of the hurricane. During Katrina we didn't really get that much really bad weather but we did during Rita and lost power for quite a while. I am an RN so i am still expecting to be going to work monday or tuesday. Hopefully everyone has prepared well. We have secured everything around our patio/yard. We aren't in an area that floods so thank goodness for that! Keep safe all you southern Disers!:goodvibes
 
Here in Baton Rouge we are expecting to get some rough weather. It looks like we will be on the worst side of the hurricane. During Katrina we didn't really get that much really bad weather but we did during Rita and lost power for quite a while. I am an RN so i am still expecting to be going to work monday or tuesday. Hopefully everyone has prepared well. We have secured everything around our patio/yard. We aren't in an area that floods so thank goodness for that! Keep safe all you southern Disers!:goodvibes


Thoughts and prayers are with all of you - stay safe.
 
Take care Deb and be safe. :hug:

Thanks, Starr. We're holding down the fort at the hospital right now. All our shelters in Shreveport and Bossier City are full to the roof. They've added a couple extra shelters. Medical staff at the shelters are at their wits end because they have maybe two RNs, one EMT and 2500 evacuees.
 
My thoughts are with everyone hope you are all safe and property damage is at a minimum.

My friend and her family lost their home in Katrina. She now lives in London but her family relocated to a different section of New Orleans. They are up in Vicksburg waiting out the storm, in one of the few places they found that would take pets. My heart just goes out to them.
 
I'm here in NE Texas about 40 miles from Shreveport. All the shelters are full & thank goodness, this time arrangements were made for pets. The LA State Fair livestock bldgs. are set up for them.

This time we will be right in the path of the storm & then it is expected to stall on top of us. This area is dry, so some soaking in will take care of some of the water, but it is the stalling that will be bad.

I work in Jefferson, which is on the Big Cypress Bayou, (part of the Mississippi watershed), & the city doesn't have storm drains. My DH is out getting sand bags to put around the doors of our store. The alley is almost even w/the door threshold. We did this when Wilma came through, but didn't get the rain.

My home in Marshall is in a flood plain, but hopefully the creek in the front yard will run smoothly. Personally, I would rather see a lot of rain that a tornado.

I do hope that everyone in the path of Gustav will come out safely. Please, everyone, don't do anything stupid. Items can be replace, but people can't.

Hope
 
Another DISer in BR - things are pretty quiet. Even the Wal-marts are closed !! :scared1:

Just sitting and waiting. We've have everything secured around our home. My DH and I worked getting stuff from the yard put away yesterday and todaoy. I told him "We always clean up with company is coming". I guess this goes for uninvited company as well!

Now I'm praying for some "fizzle" on TS Hanna. We are scheduled to leave next Saturday for Hilton Head.

Jim in Miami - you always have such good information. What do you think Hanna will do?

Everyone in the path of Gustav, stay safe.
See you on the other side!
 
My thoughts and prayers are with those of you in the path of this destructive storm. I used to deal with hurricanes when I lived in New England, but never had damage except for Hurricane Bob.

Hang in there everyone and stay safe!
 
:grouphug: and prayers for everyone in the path of Gustav.
 
Jim in Miami - you always have such good information. What do you think Hanna will do?
I would never try to make a living predicting storms, but I'm not overly worried about Hanna.

I expect her to turn sooner than the official forecast track says, so I don't think she's going to bring much bad weather to Florida. We'll see, and Hanna has been a VERY unpredictable storm from the outset, but I'm not really paying that much attention to her.
 
Our thoughts and prayers are also with the folks on the Gulf Coast -- especially those like Deb and Nursejilly who will be spending their time helping others during this difficult period. I hope those of you in the various emergency services will stay safe, and be especially mindful of taking care of yourselves.

Trust your training, be a professional, do your job...but take care of yourself. You can't help anyone if you become a patient, or if you are too exhausted to think. Be well.
 
Thought and Prayers to all that are affected by this terrible storm. :grouphug:
 
My thoughts and prayers to everyone affected by Hurricane Gustav.:grouphug:

My daughter and baby arrived safely yesterday thanks to the wonderful advice by JimMIA and Deb & Bill. She left Saturday as recommended and made it to Oxford(staying with relatives) where she will stay until tomorrow. She and the baby will then leave for Memphis so I get a chance to see the grandbaby again!

Be safe,
Susan
 
Today was my first quiet day since Friday. I put in 41 hours over the weekend and worked 18 hours yesterday. I'm going home at 6PM tonight, but I have to pick up a nurse at the airport at 8:30. We'll board her at our hospital tonight, then we'll take her to the Federal Medical Shelter tomorrow morning. I'm tired of driving 150 miles to get staff to the FMS at midnight.

We were extremely lucky. Since we were so near to the eye, we only got about 2.5 inches of rain and a little wind. Areas not too much further from us got 10 and more inches of rain. My new floors are still beautiful.

Now I'll just have to get all the staff back to the airport in a few days when they shut the FMS down. Now that will be fun. I had 13 people plus all their luggage in a 12 passenger van last night. Looked like a clown car. Too bad it was raining like crazy and the wind was blowing me all over the place.

I'm having dinner with my family tonight. Maybe watching a little TV other than The Weather Channel. As much as I love Stephanie Abrams, Jim Cantore, Mike Bettes and the rest, I want to watch a little Soapnet tonight.
 
Glad that all is well with you, Deb. And that your floors are fine!:goodvibes

Enjoy dinner with your family and some TV time. It sounds very well earned! :grouphug:
 











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