I have never chimed in on an SSR thread, because frankly - they worry me. DH and I are looking to buy this summer. We are buying, and we are going to be thrilled with SSR because it's not going to take us by any sort of surprise. So this isn't about that particular resort.
But I think you have a point here, along with some others on the thread.
Lots of people can't get BWV, etc now for, say, December. As someone pointed out, the 7-month window for that hasn't even opened, so you aren't competing with the "billions of points" SSR has added to the system.
Since we DON'T own DVC (yet), I spend a lot of time looking for hotels on property. There are very few super slow times anymore. Some are obviously slower than others, but gone are the days where weeks at a time (September, October, early December, etc) are virtually empty. It just doesn't happen. People are wise to the idea of doing Disney a different month than July or August.
So maybe, just MAYBE, this is all multi-faceted. There are simply more people GOING to WDW on the "off times". Maybe BWV owners are booking earlier than they used to (for numerous possible reasons).
Like I said, I have no vested intereste in this matter, so maybe I'm way off. It just seems like, reading this thread and others, the SSR angle is being assumed and thrown around in instances where it can't possibly even be causing a problem?
Or maybe I'm just way off. It's been known to happen