TheGecko
Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Sep 20, 2015
- Messages
- 167
One thing to remember - there is ZERO basis in the real world to believe this is going to happen in 2017. Sure a fairly reliable rumor-spinner said it, but it doesn't really pass the "sniff" test in my view. Two major problems with it:
(1) Ride is sufficiently popular as to not need replacement. This is not Stitch or Ellen, there is a steady line of people entering this ride at all times. This alone might not be enough but...
(2) The park is already ride thin until at least 2019. Remember, part of the reason Disney won't fix the Yeti is they feel that DAK can't be without EE for a long period of time. DHS has FIVE rides available to it.
Here's currently max operating ride capacity of the five DHS rides - in riders per hour (includes the new TSMM track).
RocknRoller Coaster 1620
Tower of Terror 1800
Toy Story Midway Mania 1350
Star Tours 1620
The Great Movie Ride 2160
Realize that is only 8,550 riders per hour on rides. This is comparable to DAK (which they won't take a ride off-line to fix), but Epcot is about 12,500 and MK is almost triple that at 25,000. (Yes, I'm not including "shows" in this, but those are a different animal.) Note also GMR has the largest capacity of all the rides at DHS.
Now let's take away GMR - our ride capacity for the park drops to 6,390 people per hour - a 25 % drop in rider capacity. In a park that average attendance is 29,000 people, peaking on busy days around 40,000 people. If we assume an average day at DHS is a 11 hour day (9 AM to 8 PM) your total rider capacity is 70,290. With 29,000 people, that means the average person can ride 2.4 rides in a day (down from 3.25 with GMR on line). But people expect to ride rides in theme parks - so lines for the other rides go up if this shuts down - cause most people aren't going to be happy with 2 rides in a day. MK meanwhile is somewhere around 8-9 rides per day average.
And here's the thing - if I can do this math, so can Imagineering and Management. They know the situation in that park, a situation that won't be relieved until 2018 at LEAST.
So I'm saying - this rumor doesn't hold up to the "sniff" test - in other words - it stinks. Closing Stitch for something new, or closing Ellen for GotG doesn't have the stench that this does - the parks can take those outages because those rides aren't that popular. The DHS Tower of Terror rumor had this exact same stench - capacity numbers at DHS can't take the hit - and turns out that one wasn't true either.
I hear your logic, but last summer they were leaving every other car empty on the GMR, and this was peak season. Just not as much interest as there used to be. They still had to put an employee on the car just because how some of the scenes progress (Wizard of Oz for one). This ride is long in the tooth and doesn't have a technological wow factor (or modern classics) to capture the younger audience.