Why wouldn't you just use the points to the best of your ability elsewhere for 11 month availability?
The first 3 weeks of December at WDW is the highest demand period of all
DVC for the intersection of below average point requirements with what many consider more pleasant weather and all the holiday activities/offerings. Studios fill by June and barely a room left in the system come Sept. That week before Christmas is near/at its highest for cash room and ticket prices yet DVC is below average. Not only is this thee most important time to have home priority, that priority can actually save money in the long run when you have easier access to best values and not picking from leftovers at 7 months.
DVC is really complex with so many tiny deviations that general ‘best’ answers do not exist.
December is a special beast. If this is a repeat target, home priority makes a huge difference for most people because it’s difficult to impossible trading in to studios or 2BRs at park adjacent resorts. Using home priority in this manner for 50%+ of trips usually means you’ll end up with a overall lower average points/night cost AND more satisfying bookings. If you’re someone unable to book >6 months out, this doesn’t matter. For a family who loves doing Dec most years… the math and options will matter.
This time of year the best advice is to book and rely on home resort then see IF anything else is available. Usually trading out comes with many compromises, like stalking walking waitlisting to string stuff together, doing split stays, and/or rarely to ever getting one of our top picks.
The difference is coming from a place where at least you’re holding something satisfying, then looking if anything else is possible -vs. - not sure if this trip will even happen if you can’t find something satisfying under 7 months out. The struggle is real
But this all goes back to paying that premium for VGF buy-in with the goal of mixing in many of these holiday trips using that home priority. It’s going to lose its luster if no longer valuing that Dec 11 month priority, especially when now our preferred resort this time doesn’t require much of a financial hit to switch out ownership (because VFG still gets one of the highest prices resale).