Like I said hopefully what the CM told me turns out to be wrong. I know CM's are well known for telling "tall tales", but thinking about it makes sense. Disney always seems to be ahead of the rest when it comes to Economic predictions and indicators. With the dollar going down each day against the Euro , I can see why they are going after people from the UK to visit especially during Disney's slowest months. Also they already offered
Free Dining for the Bouncebacks last year. It maybe that most of the Value and moderate rooms offered for free dining were taken by those 2 promotions , and what's really left is the Deluxe. If you look at a few of the Room discounts they did this year it was for Saratoga Springs and Old Key West -2 of the deluxe resorts they have trouble filling. Just my thoughts, and wish my fellow Disers Pixie Dust that Free Dining is for all Resorts.
What you say about the UK makes some sense, and even somewhat a few of the Canadian offers - not different, but coming out on the same day as Disney VISA holders - could be related to the USD.
The only problem I see with your reasoning is by mentioning the OKW/SS discounts. They were never public discounts.
Looking at mousesavers for all those "limited resort" discounts, they were:
1/6/08-2/2/08 "Bounceback" room-only offer only for guests staying at WDW Resorts and willing to prebook their next vacation for selected dates in 2008 (at selected resorts only, and dates available vary by resort)
1/6/08-2/2/08 package discount for Disney Rewards® Visa® Cardholders for OKW and SSR only
1/6/08-2/2/08 room-only discount for Disney Rewards® Visa® Cardholders for OKW and SSR only
2/24/08-3/1/08 "Bounceback" room-only offer only for guests staying at WDW Resorts and willing to prebook their next vacation for selected dates in 2008 (at selected resorts only, and dates available vary by resort)
3/30/08-4/12/08 room-only discount for Disney Rewards® Visa® Cardholders for Moderate resorts, OKW and SSR only
3/30/08-4/21/08 "Bounceback" room-only offer only for guests staying at WDW Resorts and willing to prebook their next vacation for selected dates in 2008 (at selected resorts only, and dates available vary by resort)
8/10/08-9/27/08 "Bounceback" room-only offer only for guests staying at WDW Resorts and willing to prebook their next vacation for selected dates in 2008 (at selected resorts only, and dates available vary by resort)
Every one of those limited to "selected resorts" or OKW/SS only were either to Bouncebackers (which is not public, you actually had to be onsite to get the offer), or Disney VISA holders (which is also not public).
Those two groups are a much smaller group (of course) than the entire populace of North America. When making an offer to a limited group, you will logically release a smaller number of rooms to be available under that promotion. It leaves a larger number of rooms available for future PUBLIC promotions.
Also, there is an advantage to public promotions that aren't available to the VISA or Bounceback promos. Public promotions often become well advertised - such as in Sunday newspaper travel sections - not so for bounceback, and (usually) not so for VISA offers either.
Marketing savvy would suggest keeping a good number of rooms open for any promo open to the public which will be advertised. These marketing promos will attract repeat business (like DISers), but it is also designed to get people to Disney for the first time - and hopefully that will be enough to make them want to come again.
Further, in all of 2008, there have only been two discounts available to the general public in North America (this means NO restrictions by residency, VISA membership, or luck of the draw on a code). They have been the two ticket upgrade packages - Jan. 1 to Mar. 15 and Mar. 30 to May 21. The Public is due for a good offer in the next Value Season.
That's my take on the situation.