I would assume DV FD on Thursday, but it could go straight to GP FD - that has happened one time before in 2010, when it went straight to the general public with no DV offer, but that has only happened that one time. This "rumored" FD release date has been all over the Disney and travel blogospheres for weeks - sorry, but the Disboards don't hold the patent for discount leaks ;-). August 1 should still hold true for some discounts to be released. And, as I mentioned, in an earlier post, these kind of discounts and announcements around them are planned by marketing divisions, literally, months in advance. Nothing has been just cancelled on a whim. Also, though it may seem like the whole world is on the Disboards or taking part in Disney social media, and the speculating that surrounds it, but in reality only a small percentage of Disney customers read these boards or ever catch wind, so to speak, of these kinds of discounts.
You seem very knowledgeable for someone who just joined the DIS; hope this info turns out to be correct for all the people hoping for FD this week.