Florida has a surplus and is well-run.
This is funny, there really isn't a surplus like your lead to believe.
For the last few years, Florida's budget was artificially inflated by billions in federal pandemic aid (ARP funds).
Federal law requires all that money to be fully spent by December 31, 2026. Florida has used these one-time funds for recurring expenses and massive infrastructure projects. As that tap turns off this year, the "surplus" effectively evaporates, leaving the state to cover those costs with its own tax revenue for the first time in years.
Even with the current reserves, their long-range outlook shows: FY 2026-27: A projected $2.8 billion deficit.
The gap is expected to widen to $6.9 billion. Essentially, the state is entering a period where spending (driven by Medicaid, school vouchers, and property insurance programs) is growing faster than tax collections.
The $16.8 billion in reserves isn't just "extra cash" sitting in a vault; it’s largely tied up in the Stabilization Fund.
One major hurricane can cost the state billions in immediate response and recovery. There is even a constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot to increase the cap on these reserves from 10% to 25% of the budget.
Available cash is really 6.6B, Florida is looking at a massive revenue drop off starting this year. using that to cover the budget deficit for this year, that's down to 3.8B the remaining is tied to the budget shortfall for 2027-2028.
This is why, I'm agreeing with
@airjay75 there's no way that bill becomes law.
All this information is readily available on the state website.