DVC Predictions for 2025

[Patmcpsu]

The year is almost over, so it's time for everyone on the internet to fake expertise and lack any shame when proven wrong. What are your predictions for DVC in 2025?

I'll start:

1. Cabins at Fort Wilderness continue to struggle with sales. Its incentives will get more-and-more desperate each cycle.
2. Polynesian and the Villas at Disneyland "sell out" by the end of 2025.
3. Riviera and Aulani do not "sell out" in 2025.
4. Transportation at the monorail resorts reaches its breaking point. It literally gets national news coverage.
5. Membership Magic Beyond sees minor interest. Disney adds some new perks for 2026 to help it sell better.
6. ROFR activity remains light.

 

[thanxfornoticin]

Interesting. I agree with your 1,3,6. I can see both Poly and DL doing well with sales, but not selling out. I can see MMB being popular and going up in price in 2025. Not sure what to make of 4!!

I see even more official future announcements from Disney regarding additions, changes and improvements as Epic Universe opens and starts out very popular.

I predict I'll be visiting WDW at least 3 times in 2025!

 

[Nicnicnic.nic]

Following

 

[jcolvin5]

Interesting list, but I don't see #2 having any shot at happening.

 

[Brian Noble]

1a yes. 1b no.
2: No
3: Yes
4a: maybe. 4b no.
5: wouldn't surprise me either way
6: agreed.

 

[Patmcpsu]

I should clarify that the "it literally gets national news coverage" portion of #4 isn't me saying the coverage would be justified. I'm saying it's an easy story for a network to syndicate across the local news stations about "this person paid $1500/nt to stay at the Grand Floridian, and can't even catch a monorail to the park".

 

[tx911]

I really need Poly to not sell out in 2025.
I need time to save some money for more points

 

[aammtt20]

Polynesian and the Villas at Disneyland "sell out" by the end of 2025.

Based on the current sales rate, Disneyland Hotel is 5 - 10 years away from selling out, so not sure what could possibly happen in the next year to help this prediction come to pass.

 

[E2ME2]

I'm All-In for #5 !
It's been worth it for me already, so new perks in 2026 would be received gladly.

 

[intamin]

1. I agree CFW will continue to struggle, not sure if the incentives will actually get better though
2. Hard disagree, they're great resorts but VDH and Poly aren't selling out this year, just too many points
3. Agreed, I think RIV sells out potentially in 2026, Aulani maybe in 2028-2030 realistically
4. National news coverage? That I doubt. I do think the transportation infrastructure may be pushed to its limit though.
5. Agree
6. Agree with light ROFR activity

 

[BuzzLightyr]

I pretty much agree but I think we'll see more rofr.
Poly will continue to sell well and be premium priced.
Riv will continue to be cheaper than poly. I would expect to see rofr for Disney to wash resale Riv points if they trend too low.
The direct sale of sold out resorts will likely continue. I expect they would avoid the 2042s. But will continue to rofr okw, akv, ssr to supply something to sell as a value option.

 

[WeIcomeHome]

2025 predictions:
1. After price increases kick in, the lowest priced WDW resort leads the monthly sales.
2. Cabins continue poor sales through 2025 and it's announced in 2026 that Lakeshore lodge will be part of the same trust and sales increase.
3. Incentives increase when prices increase to keep total cost around 180/point for 150 to 200 points when including magical beginnings.
4. Epic Universe opening helps increase Disney parks attendance through summer 2025.
5. MMB price jumps to $125 without any significant increase in perks.

 

[NVDISFamily]

For fun....

• DVC finds a way to allow owners with resale to wash those dirty points via purchase of a large contract plus a smaller fee or a larger fee with no purchase.
• VGC and AKL have their remodels and they are mostly well received.
• There is continued price pressure on the 2042 resorts and some stripped contracts at them go for historical low "bargains" as people do the math and realize there is only mid-teens years left of points to use.
• Disney WDW (FL) get's a lot less foot traffic due to Universal's open and this drives pressure to have some good promotions to boost sales. DLR (CA) get's a bit more traffic due to the 70th and things go a bit better for DVC on the west coast.
• SSR and OKW become a bit more popular and hard to book in the less than 5 to 6 month range as a lot of owners figure it's easier to just stay at the cheap point chart resorts if they plan on mostly driving down the road to Epic Universe if they want to use their DVC points for the stay.
• DVC announces a new wing of the Riviera, The Lakeside Villas (that totally did not used to be Aruba) at Riviera Resort. This comes with an announcement that a themed bridge and shopping walking path and entrance into EPCOT will be opened called the Gateway to Europe. This will drops you into Germany and Italy. It totally won't ruin the emersion as you can just look left as you enter and see France over there....

 

[intamin]

I really need Poly to not sell out in 2025.
I need time to save some money for more points

Same same.. I have a Disney wedding to pay for. I'mike 90% sure we're fine though, worse comes to worst not that I won't avoid it at all costs but I'd consider financing a small portion to get what I want and then pay it off after a few months just so I can get it direct. Spreading it out over 3 months on a credit card would probably actually be enough for a couple hundred points

 

[Cfabar1]

Posting my thoughts before reading everyone else's:

1. Cabins at Fort Wilderness continue to struggle with sales. Its incentives will get more-and-more desperate each cycle. sales struggle, incentives don't get more-and-more desperate.
2. Polynesian and the Villas at Disneyland "sell out" by the end of 2025. don't see it
3. Riviera and Aulani do not "sell out" in 2025. certainly not Aulani... RIV probably not either, but maybe...
4. Transportation at the monorail resorts reaches its breaking point. It literally gets national news coverage. Could be... Spring break will be interesting... Especially if WDWNT is national news.
5. Membership Magic Beyond sees minor interest. Disney adds some new perks for 2026 to help it sell better. I wish, but I think it will be a big hit.
6. ROFR activity remains light. I agree.

 

[Swaggerwagon]

I’ll play
1. CFW continues to struggle until DVC decides that direct owners get a complimentary golf cart each stay, sales soar
2. MMB does well and they find a way to combine it with advanced lightning lane purchases, at an increased price
3. Epic causes attendance and occupancy to increase at WDW across the board, including DVC resorts
4. AKL gets a fresh coat of beige paint

 

[maui22]

My prediction is Riviera sees a good incentive either Feb 11th or during the summer. 2025!is the 6th year for the resort and Iger may want that thing sold before he retires again.

By the end of 2025, I think we get news or leaks of CFW and LSL being same or different.

Because of MK expansion, I think we hear plans for another direct TTC to MK option. Up to imagineers what they decide. MK expansion will break transportation and Disney has to know this. Iger will want to announce, but he’ll leave it for his replacement to actually build it in 2026-2028.

 

[MarkNC2Disney]

MMB price will double and moonlight magics will go behind that paywall. We’ll get a MK MM as a result.

Agree with @NVDISFamily that a RR expansion will be announced, opening in 2028.

 

[tx911]

This comes with an announcement that a themed bridge and shopping walking path and entrance into EPCOT will be opened called the Gateway to Europe. This will drops you into Germany and Italy.

 

[fflmaster]

Some fun:

Poly sells well, but does not sell out in 25’, and people continue to complain that the incentives are not worth it.

Riv does get a bit of a decrease as DVC is hoping to have it sold out before sales begin at Lakeside.

Cabins hit an ALL-Time low in sales, then mysteriously some leak gets out that the Cabins will be part of lakeside. This is to save face for the poor reception to the cabins.

Magic Members sells very well and we see an increase in price announce to take affect in 26’ with a small increase in a benefit that people complain does not account for the price increase.