Do we need to buy where we want to stay

Originally posted by Dean

I think the issues with the OKW increase this year is more indicative of the age of the resort. Timeshares tend to start major renovations at about the 10 year mark with unit redo's, new appliances, carpet, drapes, etc. The usuall scenario is 5-6 years for a soft goods reburbishment and 10-12 years for a major redo. The better ones like DVC and Marriott are usually shorter time frames. The better companies also tend to use better and more expensive materials for these projects. Did you know that a good quality pullout is usually more expensive than a corresponding bed and DVC has a ton of these. I suspect we'll see similar increases in a couple of years at HH, VB and BWV.
I totally agree with this. Even with our dues having increased this past year, we are still below the others, because of the larger number of units and therefore, more members at the specific resort. I think that is why SSR will always be a bit lower than some of the others too.
 
Originally posted by Dean
It's been reported that the dollaras are coming form Disney for the pool but I don't know for certian, we'll wsee. Dues only ONE factor but it is am important one that anyone thinking about bying would be a fool not to consider. The example with OKW and VB is a particularly good one as historically the difference (after subsidy) has been around $1 pp. And with the set up for VB it's very unlikely for that difference to change for the better. It may change for the worse over the years, it may not. We have 8 years worth of experience to judge thus far.

I think the issues with the OKW increase this year is more indicative of the age of the resort. Timeshares tend to start major renovations at about the 10 year mark with unit redo's, new appliances, carpet, drapes, etc. The usuall scenario is 5-6 years for a soft goods reburbishment and 10-12 years for a major redo. The better ones like DVC and Marriott are usually shorter time frames. The better companies also tend to use better and more expensive materials for these projects. Did you know that a good quality pullout is usually more expensive than a corresponding bed and DVC has a ton of these. I suspect we'll see similar increases in a couple of years at HH, VB and BWV.
Only time will tell.
I still fell the due to the fact that dues are anything but a constant, that although they need to be considered, there are many things that are more important to consider than flulctuating dues. Resale values of contracts, availability to book the resort at the 11/7 window, are just 2 that come to my mind, right off the bat!
 
Originally posted by dianeschlicht
Even with our dues having increased this past year, we are still below the others, because of the larger number of units and therefore, more members at the specific resort. I think that is why SSR will always be a bit lower than some of the others too.
That is definitely part of the reason, but also is definitely not the whole reason.
 
Originally posted by BWVDee
Only time will tell.
I still fell the due to the fact that dues are anything but a constant, that although they need to be considered, there are many things that are more important to consider than flulctuating dues. Resale values of contracts, availability to book the resort at the 11/7 window, are just 2 that come to my mind, right off the bat!
Resale values have been in favor of OKW over VB as well. VB has been the cheapest to buy over the past 5-6 years by about $5 pp. With only HH being close to as cheap. That can be good if it works out but does reduce the resale value if one wants to sell.
 

I may have missed it but......
Where in the OP is OKW even mentioned?? How did this become a VB vs OKW discussion?
 
Originally posted by BWVDee
I may have missed it but......
Where in the OP is OKW even mentioned?? How did this become a VB vs OKW discussion?
It's not necessarily a VB vs OKW discussion. The principles still hold regardless. The OP was asking about buying with the idea of using those points at WDW. While not stated, we also assumed this was with the idea of saving money, not that the OP was particurly concerned about staying at VB. If that is the case, the logical discussion is VB vs OKW though not the only choice. The reason being is OKW will be the cheapest in terms of points costs, cost per point and yearly dues. When the goal is to get the cheapest points to use at WDW without regards to which resort on property, OKW is the obvious first choice for one who cares not where their home resort is. For those that want one resort most of the time, they should buy at that resort. Everyone must make their own decicion in the end.
 
Originally posted by Dean
It's been reported that the dollaras are coming form Disney for the pool but I don't know for certian, we'll wsee. Dues only ONE factor but it is am important one that anyone thinking about bying would be a fool not to consider. The example with OKW and VB is a particularly good one as historically the difference (after subsidy) has been around $1 pp.

I disagree. I think anyone who buys DVC to whom $1 per point per year makes a difference is a fool. On the "minimum" contract thats $150. If you can't afford an extra $150- what are you doing putting money towards DVC vacations!

$1 per point per year in dues is affordable piece of mind if you want to make sure you are at VWL over the holidays or have your family have access to SAB or be able to book BWV standard view rooms easier.
 
Originally posted by crisi
I disagree. I think anyone who buys DVC to whom $1 per point per year makes a difference is a fool. On the "minimum" contract thats $150. If you can't afford an extra $150- what are you doing putting money towards DVC vacations!

$1 per point per year in dues is affordable piece of mind if you want to make sure you are at VWL over the holidays or have your family have access to SAB or be able to book BWV standard view rooms easier.
Your perogative of course. IMO, anyone that doesn't at least take it into account is the fool. $150 is a fair chunk every year and it's more like $350 for enough points for a 2 BR for a week. Over 10 years that would be $1500 or $3500 depending on the number of points, nothing to sneeze at. We're talking 20% difference or so at current levels and it's likely the percentage and not the $1 separation will be what holds up. I have timeshares where the entire maint fee is barely over the $150 per year.

As to worrying about $150 being petty as you imply, on that we definitely disagree. I don't find most DVC members to be inclined to throw money away on something worth less than they could get otherwise, and yes I mean a VB contract is worth less than an on site contract. My opinion of course.
 
Originally posted by Dean
Your perogative of course. IMO, anyone that doesn't at least take it into account is the fool. $150 is a fair chunk every year and it's more like $350 for enough points for a 2 BR for a week. Over 10 years that would be $1500 or $3500 depending on the number of points, nothing to sneeze at. We're talking 20% difference or so at current levels and it's likely the percentage and not the $1 separation will be what holds up. I have timeshares where the entire maint fee is barely over the $150 per year.

As to worrying about $150 being petty as you imply, on that we definitely disagree. I don't find most DVC members to be inclined to throw money away on something worth less than they could get otherwise, and yes I mean a VB contract is worth less than an on site contract. My opinion of course.
Dean,
I definitely agree with the points you are making:
A VB contract is worth less money than an OKW contract.
A OKW contract is worth less money than any other WDW DVC contract.
BUT,
The point I was making is, to regard whichever DVC resort has the lowest dues TODAY, as a constant or reliable basis for choosing a home resort--is foolish. Do I think dues need to be considered, most definitley, However, imo they are way down on the priority list in all the factors that one should consider when choosing a home resort. If dues were a set figure, yes, then I would weigh them higher---but they are not.
That is my opinion and how I have looked at all DVC pts I have purchased. YMMV.......and that is fine!
 
Originally posted by BWVDee
Dean,
I definitely agree with the points you are making:
A VB contract is worth less money than an OKW contract.
A OKW contract is worth less money than any other WDW DVC contract.
BUT,
The point I was making is, to regard whichever DVC resort has the lowest dues TODAY, as a constant or reliable basis for choosing a home resort--is foolish. Do I think dues need to be considered, most definitley, However, imo they are way down on the priority list in all the factors that one should consider when choosing a home resort. If dues were a set figure, yes, then I would weigh them higher---but they are not.
That is my opinion and how I have looked at all DVC pts I have purchased. YMMV.......and that is fine!
We agree somewhat. As we've both stated, dues are a factor. IMO, the problem with VB is that it's off property. That means anyone wanting to use points to stay at WDW has to wait until the 7 month window for anything. This gives OKW points (or any other on property) a major advantage that is far more important than the current dues difference. We disagree though in the importance of the dues. IMO, the situation will become worse over the years for VB owners in regards to dues rather than better. My opinion of course, but that's what I believe. I have a number of reasons but will save that for another time.
 
Again, we agree!
I also think buying VB pts with the intention of using them primarily for WDW trips, is very foolish.
My point is/was to constantly advise potential DVC members to buy OKW because they are the lowest in everything, including dues--thrown in with personal preferences and untruths--- is incorrect, untruthful and misleading. I am certainly not saying this relates to you. However it does relate to the post that I was responding to, orginally.
Dues are not a set or unchanging figure, by any means. Although they should most definitely be considered in a DVC home resort choice; they must also be valued at what they realistically are. Dues are a factor to consider but also do not carry nearly the financial impact and significance--- that is often given on this board.
 
Originally posted by BWVDee
My point is/was to constantly advise potential DVC members to buy OKW because they are the lowest in everything, including dues--thrown in with personal preferences and untruths--- is incorrect, untruthful and misleading. I am certainly not saying this relates to you. However it does relate to the post that I was responding to, orginally.
Dues are not a set or unchanging figure, by any means. Although they should most definitely be considered in a DVC home resort choice; they must also be valued at what they realistically are. Dues are a factor to consider but also do not carry nearly the financial impact and significance--- that is often given on this board.
We disagree on the importance of the dues. While there are no guarantees, common sense and a historical perspective strongly suggest that OKW and HH will have the cheaper dues over the long run AND that VB will be the highest. And I do see this as important in the decision making process, just not the only info that should be considered. This, the number of contracts available and the slightly lower price make OKW the likely choice for one wanting to get in the system as cheaply as possible to use for WDW stays if they don't care what their home resort is. OTOH, the differences do not outweigh the recommendation to buy where you want to stay. Even for the extra time at SSR, it is not a reasonable choice to buy at another resort with the idea of staying at different specific resort almost all the time. But everyone has the option of making unreasonable choices if they want, LOL.
 
Actually, Dean, last time this came up I put the data in statistical trending software. Because OKW has had the highest dues increases the past several years, according to trend data, it will pass BWV as the most expensive onsite resort in just a few (10 or less, IIRC) years.

There really aren't enough data points to have a lot of statistical confidence in this number, but where common sense says OKW will always be lowest, math and historical perspective (from a rate of increase instead of "its always been low") says it won't.
 
Originally posted by crisi
Actually, Dean, last time this came up I put the data in statistical trending software. Because OKW has had the highest dues increases the past several years, according to trend data, it will pass BWV as the most expensive onsite resort in just a few (10 or less, IIRC) years.

There really aren't enough data points to have a lot of statistical confidence in this number, but where common sense says OKW will always be lowest, math and historical perspective (from a rate of increase instead of "its always been low") says it won't.
A dinner for 2 at Artist Point says that OKW will be less than BCV, VWL and BWV in 10 years, are you as confident the other way? The other piece of info which I hinted at earlier is the natural history of what happens with upkeep at timeshares over time. There is usually an increase or special assessment at around 10-12 years out, OKW has had theirs and no one else has yet. If memory serves me, I think VB has actually had the largest increase over time. The other one to watch out for is VWL in part due to it's smaller size. I suspect it will end up the highest of the on property options.
 
No, I do not give dues the amount of importance that you do Dean. I think there are too many factors that are not constant for dues to be as important as some make them out to be. Also the actual price difference in dues is really so small in the whole scheme of vacation costs, that it is and most likely will always be a consideration for me regarding DVC pts but not a major consideration.
I do agree with you that OKW will most likely always be the cheapest DVC resort to buy/own. The size of the resort is one factor but there are also many other factors that account for OKW being the cheapest, having always been the cheapest and most likely will always be the cheapest.
Nope, I agree with you, I seriously doubt OKW will ever be as expensive as BWV. I do however think the price in dues will continue to get somewhat closer over the years but BWV will still be the more expensive resort to buy/own. Believe me, if the day ever comes that OKW is more expensive then BWV, that will be the day, I will seriously look into selling my DVC pts.
 
Wow, I am learning alot about timeshares here.
I didn't know dues can go up, Something the salesperson failed to mention.
We were looking at points for sale, rather than a choice between VB and OKW. Because there is only 2 of us and we travel to Florida every other year, we thought we could be happy with 100 to 150 points..
My husband is concerned about buying into a timeshare because he dosen't like the idea of dues compaired to just paying to stay at a resort with housekeeping included. We were told at a TS housekeeping is extra..
He also thinks by staying at a resort you can get a good package with tickets included.
We have been discussing this a lot..
I think a timeshare would save $$ over the long run..
You are all very helpful..
Haley
:wave:
 
Originally posted by BWVDee
No, I do not give dues the amount of importance that you do Dean. I think there are too many factors that are not constant for dues to be as important as some make them out to be. Also the actual price difference in dues is really so small in the whole scheme of vacation costs, that it is and most likely will always be a consideration for me regarding DVC pts but not a major consideration.
I do agree with you that OKW will most likely always be the cheapest DVC resort to buy/own. The size of the resort is one factor but there are also many other factors that account for OKW being the cheapest, having always been the cheapest and most likely will always be the cheapest.
Nope, I agree with you, I seriously doubt OKW will ever be as expensive as BWV. I do however think the price in dues will continue to get somewhat closer over the years but BWV will still be the more expensive resort to buy/own. Believe me, if the day ever comes that OKW is more expensive then BWV, that will be the day, I will seriously look into selling my DVC pts.
That's cool. Though there are only limited issues to consider when purchasing one resort vs another. There are many more issues as to whether to purchase and how many points to buy. The only issues that come into play for home resort I can think of are the following.
  • Where you want to use your points.
  • How much per point for purchase and how many points do you get.
  • Dues.
  • Any other costs like closing costs.
  • Use year is important for some
It's that simple. If one wants a specific resort, buy there. Any savings in purchase price or dues will be not be worth it. If one wants VB or HH a signficant part of the time, consider buying some points there. If one wants WDW almost exclussively, buy there, PERIOD. Obviously there are all type of nuances within these issues that will be unique to the individual.

Here are my predictions for dues rankings from highest to lowest over the long haul.
  1. Vero Beach
  2. VWL
  3. BCV
  4. BWV
  5. SSR
  6. OKW
  7. HH
    [/list=1] And for long term resale value, it partly depends on when you measure it. But assuming 10 years from now and the same number of points, here's my prediction:
    1. SSR
    2. BWV
    3. BCV
    4. VWL
    5. OKW
    6. VB
    7. HH
      [/list=1] SSR is only at the top due to the extra length of usage. If it were the same expiration, move it under VWL and above OKW. BVC, BWV and VWL will likely be very close with a slight edge to BWV due to the standard view options making it less points per room to stay there. BCV and VWL will slip just below BWV once the new wears off. This is sales, not asking prices. We know from past experience with timeshares that most people base their sale price on what they paid and the newer resorts are more expensive due to the increases over time. So I'll specify actual sales prices, not offering prices, it makes a HUGE difference.
 
Originally posted by Haley Whippet
Wow, I am learning alot about timeshares here.
I didn't know dues can go up, Something the salesperson failed to mention.
We were looking at points for sale, rather than a choice between VB and OKW. Because there is only 2 of us and we travel to Florida every other year, we thought we could be happy with 100 to 150 points..
My husband is concerned about buying into a timeshare because he dosen't like the idea of dues compaired to just paying to stay at a resort with housekeeping included. We were told at a TS housekeeping is extra..
He also thinks by staying at a resort you can get a good package with tickets included.
We have been discussing this a lot..
I think a timeshare would save $$ over the long run..
You are all very helpful..
Haley
:wave:
Then we've done you a great service. Dues will go up over time, that you can consider guaranteed. As to whether DVC will work for you, you must decide. It depends on how you'd use it. As a rule, DVC doesn't save people money. It may give them better accomodations for about the same money. It also may cost them a lot of money if it forces WDW vacations that tend to be very expensive beyond the room price for things like park passes and expensive meals, etc. For some DVC is perfect, for others it would never rmake sense.
 
Dean, statisticians never gamble. We are never sure of anything, just more sure of some things than others. :teeth:

And of this I'm not more sure of OKW increasing than any other scenario, just pointing out that the data could be interpreted in different directions than the "obvious" its always been this way and it will always be this way.
 
Originally posted by crisi
Dean, statisticians never gamble. We are never sure of anything, just more sure of some things than others. :teeth:

And of this I'm not more sure of OKW increasing than any other scenario, just pointing out that the data could be interpreted in different directions than the "obvious" its always been this way and it will always be this way.
Your choice, but my offer stands as I am confident of my evaluation.
 
















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