Really appreciate this thread as I just made my first offer on a resale contract - still waiting to hear back, so will see how it goes. I took a few things into account. Tried to find as much data as I could on average sales price for the resort - that was sort of my starting point of what I think should be my upper limit for the purchase, and given my reasons for considering the purchase, not sure I will even be willing to go that high. I also looked at the instant offer on
DVC Resale Market, but noted that that figure includes seller paying closing costs and all current/past dues, so even if you started at that instant offer figure, but are agreeing to pay closing costs and current/past dues, the seller will be getting a better deal at that pp figure. I decided to go just a few $$ pp above that instant sale quote.
Although that does lead me to a question - does anyone know whether that instant sale quote means the seller would actually get the money up front? I was thinking they would given that it says "instant," but now that I think about it, they probably still have to go through the normal ROFR/closing process and I imagine the seller doesn't get paid until closing. At first, I had been thinking I didn't want to go quite that low, as why would they sell to me if they could get the cash instantly. But, if that isn't the case, even you're offering at that instant sale figure, and agreeing to pay closing costs and dues, they are getting a better deal from you. The math would change a bit if they get the cash instantly (would have to factor in interest you could earn on that one over 3 months or so). So, seems to me offering at that figure is not too low, and you could justify going lower, just not so low that they would be getting a worse deal from you.