I’m sitting at 386 gems and currently need 400 gems to get her. I’m betting it gets right under that 386 bar by the event’s endI would not doubt they are manipulating this somehow. I'm sitting at 337 gems and have not had a hat drop in days...still sitting at 3, even though I have all the necklaces. I am not in gem range yet...10 hats needed at 50 gems each means I need 500 gems.
Look, I get this is a for-profit game. I won't argue that. Most things are for-profit. Casinos are for-profit, for example. But this game should not be a gamble. Spend six hours on a task and get nothing back for it. It's not like experience or a boss battle (like Legend of Zelda) or anything is playing a hand in the drops...they are "random" and depend on zero skill from the player. That's the maddening thing...no matter what I do, I can't affect the outcome.
If I'm playing Mario Kart, my ability to get power ups or screech around corners or the kart I pick make all the difference. In this game, there is literally nothing I can do to increase my chances of a drop. I can cross my fingers, "hope" the interns and managers of GL have the drops programmed right and continue to advocate for the time walls getting taken down.
Would more time to collect help? I don't know. But it sure couldn't hurt...unless they made the tokens even rarer if the time walls came down. From experience, we know they have screwed up events before. Silly Symphonies, most recently, was an absolute joke...so much so they gave out tokens. This event-Kele to 4, Figment (!!!!!) to 2, the Clam at 3-is no different. (Figment gets tokens through 24 hour gambling tasks and a free chest every day. It's a blatant money grab to get players to pay for Figment to help in this event. It's complete BS.
I echo all of the same frustrations as you have. My biggest frustration currently is that if my tinfoil theory is correct, I am paying more for the season pass to get gems that are going to get eaten up in the end by this algorithm manipulation. Sure, there are other season bonuses as well, but I would be lying if I said that the extra gem payout wasn’t a large part of me being willing to buy the upgraded season pass