Hi Everyone,
I was just wondering a few things, first off are people really giving credit card info for contracts before there's an actuall official points chart posted on the member site? I know there's been "leaked" information out there but until I see it on the member site and see it for myself I'm really on the fence. Secondly, correct me of I'm wrong but last time I checked the economy sucks so one would think our DL guides would be calling founding members to give out information and see if, when and how many points each of us are wanting to buy considering it's a commison based position. I've had to make all the initial calls and the last time I made on was 2 weeks ago and have'nt heard a thing since. Thirdly, why would you offer something for sale, because today is the first official sale day for GCV and not have the official points chart posted on the website? To me it almost comes across like
DVC is playing games and I'm very disappointed in DVC right now. Please someone set me straight if I'm way off base with this, one minute I wanna buy and the next I figure Ill just keeping using my points at DLH and probably be just as happy and not worry about having an 11 month booking window.
I am definitely scrutinizing this purchase alot more closely given the current economy. Even though I have had some reservations about such a large purchase, my reasons for wanting to purchase VGC in this economy are:
1. Emotional - we've been waiting for the VGC and are already invested by purchasing pts at WDW to have this opportunity. Not a great reason, but many Disney experiences are emotional, or who would pay what they charge for tickets and food!?
Disney vacations are the only destination we all love, so it's also an investment in our family. We lead busy lives and like the idea of a preset/prepaid vacation that we have to take every year.
2. VGC points will actually be cheaper in the long run than my SSR points due to the lower MFs. Now the MFs could go up, but since the villas are such a small % of the resort and the overall resort has a pretty small footprint, I don't think they'll go up above SSR which is much larger and just added the Treehouses which will be high maintanence.
3. It's also cheaper for our family to travel to DL than WDW. Now we could use our SSR points to stay at the DLH or PPH, but personally I'd rather stay at the Grand or offsite. DLH does have some magic so we still might stay there occasionally, but those points will keep going up and will be eventually be higher than VGC points, especially when you look at spreading the $95 fee over a short visit. So, 10 years from now I think VGC will look like a good deal.
Regarding the guides, from what I hear they've been inundated with calls from prospective buyers, and since they were told they can't proactively give out info until today, I don't don't think they saw the point of making outbound sales calls yet. That said, I do think Disney hasn't handled this launch well, just like they botched the communication of the
point chart and waitlist changes. I think they need to take a good look at their Communications/Marketing team and make some changes...
Regarding the 7mo mark, I'm not sure how that is going to work out, but I think it will be very difficult to get 7mo reservations. I'm not sure what the slow DVC time will be yet, and I don't want to take my chances that it's during the times I
can't go. I think even members will have to waitlist much of the time (48 units don't go very far during a peak season). I think non members getting reservations at 7mo will be based more on luck than anything else, probably only when members have to cancel at the last minute due to unforeseen circumstances. There won't be the scenario of reservations opening up because a member waitlisted somewhere else as there's nowhere else to waitlist.
All this said, it is still important to think through this purchase because of the economy. I personally wouldn't finance a purchase like this in times like this (unless you have a very low debt to asset ratio), so we are only buying points we can pay with cash. One advantage Disney has is that you can't really ponder too long about this purchase. I think once it's sold out it will be very difficult to buy resale or do add ons from Disney. I think they will buy most contracts back and will have a long running list of interested buyers... Rather than risk not being able to purchase or not being able to reserve at 7mo with VGC, I'm going to take that risk with Hawaii. I'd love to own DVC Hawaii (specifically because you won't have other yearly expenses like park tickets with a Hawaii vacation), but plan to wait to see how it sells and try to book at 7mo. If I can't book there at 7mo, then we may look at buying some points in the future, but that would be many years down the road. Given Hawaii really doesn't have an offseason and will have quite a few rooms, I think it will be easier to book at 7mo than VGC.
Whether you buy or not, the beauty of DLR is that you will still be able to stay at DLH or PPH, and those will probably turn into DVC resorts in the coming years, so there will probably be other DVC opportunities. Offsite stays are also great alternatives. We'll probably stay offsite 1 or 2 times a year regardless to take advantage of APs.
Best of luck with your decision!