If $65 is your price point, how set on AKV are you? That seems more in the SSR range from when I was looking. I don't know what the price you should expect be, but the ROFR thread is only those sales that people on the boards here post. That is just a small snapshot of all the overall sales.
I can tell you that when searching with 3 different resale realtors trying to find our resale, they were pretty honest with me about what they were selling for. Not listed for, but selling for. They gave me a range of what they have seen as lowest to highest. That doesn't mean I didn't offer much lower to start, but it gave me realistic expectation of what it was going to cost to make a deal. Every seller has a reason for selling. Some are not "desperate" to sell in, and will not accept below a certain price. Others may need to sell quicker and will take an offer.
We came up against a seller who was not in a rush to sell, and would not budge below the price he gave me. I took it, as I wanted the contract with the banked points and that specific UY. I wasn't seeing this particular matchup come along, so I paid a couple dollars per point higher. In the end, it was only $625 higher total than what I had said was my highest I would go. If you are more flexible in UY and points, then wait it out till you get your price. Patience is your friend if you want your price. If not, you will pay someone else's price. My only suggestion is to find a price you are willing to pay, and try to work around that, and not try to pay the lowest you possibly can.
The other thing is that smaller contracts like the 100 pts you mention usually have less movement on price than larger ones. That was just my observation. 100 points are attractive to less frequent travelers like me, and to people looking to add on points. 200 point contracts are likely to get less people looking for them, so they get fewer offers. Just my 2 cents. (although my wife tells me that's overpriced
