I imagine the math wouldnt be as simple as addition.
WDW most likely did a survey of say 100 people who
actually ate at WDW restaurants and found (I am trying to make it simple): 25 ate at restaurant A for an average of $20 a meal, 25 at restaurant B for $25 a meal, 25 at restaurant C for $30 a meal, and 25 at restaurant D for $35 a meal. Making an average of $27.5 a meal.
Then they had to do an estimate of how many people would take advantage of the plan that
dont normally eat at WDW but
might with a dining plan because that is the purpose of the plan, to encourage more visitors to eat on property. There wouldnt be any real numbers for that figure. That is one unknown.
The second unknown would be the behavior changes of those that normally eat at WDW but now have a pay-one-price plan. In other words, until they have real world information, how would they know that everyone in restaurant A would continue dining there and not move to restaurant D? Maybe 25% change destinations, maybe 75% would change. Until the plan is implemented it would only be estimations. An unknown variable would be the dining plan itself.
The third variable would be the changes in ordering patterns within the plan. There is no way for the company to say with any degree of certainty that those diners in restaurant D would continue to make only $35 worth of purchases. How many would add an appetizer that normally would never order one? How many in restaurant A would add a dessert? If the average appetizer in restaurant A is $5 that is a simple number, but how many would order the $3 appetizer and how many would order the $10 appetizer? Again, without definite figures, putting a price on the plan is conjecture.
Until the plan was put into real world use, the price of the plan would be an educated guess and not simple math. The three variables would be very difficult to assess accurately.
However, the complaints about uniformed CMs is inexcusable and a sign of incompetence. I do agree with that statement.
