I thought Europe was all about open borders. I can’t imagine with unemployment reaching 20 to 30% people aren’t going to want tourism back. I guess time will tell how bad this economic collapse is going to be. It will be interesting to see peoples breaking point.
I think there is a mix up about the word 'Schengen borders', what is now closed officially are the borders around the Schengen area. No people from non-Schengen allowed in. The borders within the Schengen area what we refer to as 'open borders', can differ per country now. The border between Germany and the Netherlands isnt officially closed, but there are checks at the border now (which we normally don't have) and people who are making non-essential trips are very much discouraged not to do so by the police. Belgium is a lot stricter than The Netherlands and Germany and decided to officially close down the country: no one in, no one out (except essential workers). Before that we had some issues mid-March, Belgium had already closed down its bars and restaurants before The Netherlands had done so and some Belgians crossed the border to come drinking here.
Before the Schengen area opens up to non-Schengen visitors, all the internal borders have to be open again.
For the breaking point, I think the amount of rioting or protests will differ per country. It depends on the relationship the country has with authority. But then even so, France has a history with strikes and protests, the government is definitely not popular and the French have some very strict lockdown rules, and even there it is quiet. As long there is light at the end of the tunnel, I think we can go on for a while.
I can't imagine my country of The Netherlands will have any riots or protests. The only thing we were upset about was that the government didn't want to lockdown the schools, due to the risk for children and to keep it manageable for the parents to keep working and keep the economy going. The government did change their mind a few days later after public pressure. Same is happening now about masks. We are not required to wear them here (as it brings a false sense of security and more importantly: let's keep the ones we do have for our health care workers), but the people do see different advice being given in other countries, which makes the people a little anxious. The PM has now said we might going to use them during our exit policy. Which made the people calm down again
For tourism, we are heavily dependent on Belgium and Germany and not every tourist company will survive, but I do think some of it can be made up for it by domestic tourism. Not in the big cities, like Amsterdam, which attracts million of tourists from all over the world, but for regional tourism, I can see people this summer exploring their own country. Certain areas are already publishing about their plans for tourism in a 6ft society. The bike companies will probably do well, one factory has re-opened as they saw a rise in demand. And maybe Amsterdam will see it as a blessing in disguise as the city is really suffering from the amounts of foreign tourists it attracts each year.(seriously, if some of you are planning a trip to The Netherlands, there are more and better places to go than Amsterdam).
Festivals are now being cancelled one by one, not by the government, but by the organizations for safety reasons, but also as preparation time is too short now.
Normally 60% of our population travels abroad during the holidays. The majority will not this summer, if only quarter of what they normally spend abroad is spent on domestic tourism, it might be a relatively okay summer, under the circumstances.
But as everyone says: we shall see.